TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jose Delanoof Jose Delano, Robert Ruchala
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$518,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$676,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Robert Ruchala35c124,026$43,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,079.433447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Jose Delano65c76,710$49,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,848.659240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Jose Delano66c67,087$44,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,809.5613452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Robert Ruchala34c30,733$10,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,449.153441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Robert Ruchala34c19,137$6,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,506.5919154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Robert Ruchala6c18,868$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.1115939.6%63 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jose Delano65c15,006$9,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,252.0837152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Robert Ruchala7c14,738$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.724936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Robert Ruchala27c13,715$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,714.429151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Jose Delano66c11,877$7,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0595459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Robert Ruchala34c11,578$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.4311554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Jose Delano80c9,669$7,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.48434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Jose Delano65c8,864$5,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,102.344548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Robert Ruchala7c6,960$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.114530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Ruchala10c6,097$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.0933132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Jose Delano67c4,999$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.688851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Robert Ruchala34c4,984$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.610542.9%45 W · 60 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Jose Delano72c4,356$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.562661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Robert Ruchala16c4,064$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.6735848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Robert Ruchala28c3,647$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.2510949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Robert Ruchala31c3,251$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9728043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Robert Ruchala6c2,846$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.624829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8982…59fbbacked Jose Delano70c2,806$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.716055%33 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jose Delano65c2,560$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.4114551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Jose Delano68c2,059$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.261838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Jose Delano64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72013735.8%49 W · 88 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Robert Ruchala32c1,999$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.8435826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Jose Delano70c1,856$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.789756.7%55 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Robert Ruchala26c1,688$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2229133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Robert Ruchala6c1,573$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3612134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa97…b225backed Jose Delano69c1,472$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Robert Ruchala13c1,449$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6122438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Jose Delano73c1,424$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.575156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jose Delano65c1,404$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.3613953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Robert Ruchala35c1,401$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.894843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Jose Delano66c1,390$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.63545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Robert Ruchala16c1,385$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.939638.5%37 W · 59 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Robert Ruchala37c1,316$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.916156.5%91 W · 70 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Robert Ruchala6c1,196$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7920233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Robert Ruchala7c1,193$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5721247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bce…6c1dbacked Jose Delano69c1,138$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.996569.2%45 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Robert Ruchala24c1,078$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.316746.1%77 W · 90 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Robert Ruchala13c1,056$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.626451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Robert Ruchala7c1,052$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.14143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Robert Ruchala35c1,050$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.3631855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Jose Delano74c1,043$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.396246.8%29 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Jose Delano71c1,006$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.718461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Robert Ruchala29c994.17$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.72846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c68…6746backed Robert Ruchala26c985$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.11060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Jose Delano66c979.6$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0635664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Jose Delano66c979.6$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0617850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d0…5ea8backed Robert Ruchala2c941.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.824330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Robert Ruchala10c918.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7820139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Jose Delano70c899.96$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9933948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Robert Ruchala35c892.36$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3326140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x914b…b84abacked Jose Delano71c873.85$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.759637.5%36 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Robert Ruchala27c872.39$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2226736%96 W · 171 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xace6…e599backed Robert Ruchala35c738.6$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.512254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Robert Ruchala30c712$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7315540.6%63 W · 92 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Jose Delano70c687.4$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.223441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Jose Delano69c677.04$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21237754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Robert Ruchala12c666.69$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.773438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Robert Ruchala20c655.25$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.756045%27 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Jose Delano68c646.42$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.042744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Jose Delano66c593.7$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.867644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Robert Ruchala6c513.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8614551%74 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f8…503abacked Robert Ruchala29c507.42$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.159459.6%56 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Jose Delano69c495.3$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.544967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Jose Delano66c489.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.533246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Robert Ruchala6c471.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.319949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Jose Delano69c466.52$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6211735.9%42 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jose Delano65c458.15$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.242054%227 W · 193 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed Jose Delano66c449.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c62…d8d6backed Jose Delano69c427.47$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.079845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed Jose Delano68c424.69$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+134.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Robert Ruchala25c424.06$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.493743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Robert Ruchala34c423.71$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0612833.6%43 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Jose Delano70c387.86$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.863237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Robert Ruchala35c341.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e6…5cb1backed Robert Ruchala7c328.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e3…cb10backed Jose Delano68c328.57$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.095651.8%29 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Robert Ruchala6c314.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Robert Ruchala7c313.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.944654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Robert Ruchala31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.863040%12 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Jose Delano70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7bc…0f85backed Jose Delano66c296.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.932277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x900e…104dbacked Jose Delano66c295.36$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.422646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed Jose Delano67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.565461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f4…5b53backed Jose Delano67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.561145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Robert Ruchala33c287.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.027843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Robert Ruchala20c285.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.284032.5%13 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…68d7backed Robert Ruchala34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.049855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca4…f852backed Jose Delano70c280.64$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.242733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Jose Delano70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.172373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Robert Ruchala31c254.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.953943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe93…3638backed Jose Delano65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f16…301ebacked Robert Ruchala23c228.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.461330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Robert Ruchala29c220.2$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.866653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…029bbacked Robert Ruchala28c218.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.810351.5%53 W · 50 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Robert Ruchala28c206.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.248638.4%33 W · 53 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.