Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc28f2a4556bf12a15af922946b7a3bb3b69fe180b615d89c6311c873256150c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois State Redbirdsof Illinois State Redbirds, Dayton Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,526 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 26c | 59,826$15,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,372.37 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dayton Flyers | 49c | 18,605$9,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,128.9 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dayton Flyers | 74c | 12,713$9,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,407.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Dayton Flyers | 73c | 12,510$9,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,152.32 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dayton Flyers | 42c | 8,667$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.62 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dayton Flyers | 12c | 6,544$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.18 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dayton Flyers | 36c | 6,376$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 48c | 6,159$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Dayton Flyers | 76c | 6,114$4,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dayton Flyers | 75c | 6,065$4,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,541.96 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 64c | 5,421$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Dayton Flyers | 59c | 3,784$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.36 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 40c | 2,952$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.03 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…4392backed Illinois State Redbirds | 24c | 2,657$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Dayton Flyers | 13c | 2,605$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.46 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 2,392$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.15 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Illinois State Redbirds | 40c | 2,359$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.26 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dayton Flyers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 44c | 1,939$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.03 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Dayton Flyers | 39c | 1,860$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.25 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Dayton Flyers | 38c | 1,644$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.93 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois State Redbirds | 60c | 1,643$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Illinois State Redbirds | 50c | 1,627$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.83 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…afc5backed Illinois State Redbirds | 24c | 1,612$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Dayton Flyers | 74c | 1,550$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Dayton Flyers | 32c | 1,463$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.01 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dayton Flyers | 75c | 1,376$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.19 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecac…0cf3backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 1,307$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 1,294$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.66 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Dayton Flyers | 9c | 1,214$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 1,192$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.09 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Dayton Flyers | 9c | 1,141$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Dayton Flyers | 2c | 1,006$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Dayton Flyers | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fa…a857backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 993.62$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Dayton Flyers | 74c | 880.76$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.53 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Dayton Flyers | 74c | 856.2$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.58 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dayton Flyers | 20c | 823.29$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Dayton Flyers | 75c | 799.99$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.99 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Dayton Flyers | 29c | 777.81$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Dayton Flyers | 5c | 726.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 24c | 688.32$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Dayton Flyers | 56c | 608.74$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…5481backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 568.35$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Illinois State Redbirds | 73c | 546.24$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Dayton Flyers | 4c | 504.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Dayton Flyers | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Illinois State Redbirds | 26c | 496.63$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.51 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 441.41$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f7…20a8backed Dayton Flyers | 6c | 438.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…6df7backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 422.48$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.09 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Dayton Flyers | 60c | 414.56$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Dayton Flyers | 38c | 389.86$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 389.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.85 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Dayton Flyers | 73c | 386.57$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.2 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…ffa2backed Illinois State Redbirds | 26c | 382.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Illinois State Redbirds | 54c | 367.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de8…2c97backed Dayton Flyers | 47c | 355.66$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Illinois State Redbirds | 66c | 345.25$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 324.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.73 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 299.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Dayton Flyers | 17c | 299.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Illinois State Redbirds | 26c | 298.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Illinois State Redbirds | 70c | 283.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Illinois State Redbirds | 62c | 283.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 265.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.87 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Dayton Flyers | 12c | 254.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Dayton Flyers | 39c | 254.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Dayton Flyers | 40c | 247.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…21b1backed Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 239.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Dayton Flyers | 75c | 238.43$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 229.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Dayton Flyers | 9c | 227.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…bd3bbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Illinois State Redbirds | 58c | 218.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 28c | 200.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Dayton Flyers | 75c | 200.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Dayton Flyers | 73c | 199.97$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.98 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Illinois State Redbirds | 60c | 198.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 196.11$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…224cbacked Dayton Flyers | 57c | 195.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Illinois State Redbirds | 26c | 191.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a4…9825backed Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 188.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Illinois State Redbirds | 63c | 182.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Dayton Flyers | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 176.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Dayton Flyers | 75c | 170.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dayton Flyers | 33c | 157.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Illinois State Redbirds | 26c | 155.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…7759backed Dayton Flyers | 61c | 154.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…3e6bbacked Dayton Flyers | 76c | 148.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e26…c747backed Dayton Flyers | 76c | 147.06$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Dayton Flyers | 17c | 146.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560a…cb11backed Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 145.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Dayton Flyers | 40c | 144.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 25c | 143.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368f…fe1bbacked Dayton Flyers | 76c | 142.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Dayton Flyers | 21c | 141.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…5f8cbacked Dayton Flyers | 75c | 140$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…013bbacked Dayton Flyers | 76c | 139.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersthis page
- Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 119.5Under won
- Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 139.5Under won
- Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-7.5)Illinois State Redbirds won
- Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-3.5)Illinois State Redbirds won
- Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-5.5)Illinois State Redbirds won
- Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-6.5)Dayton Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.