NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x912ff846c72ea5902fb399e9b1031f6d9032ec0ef70c91c8f9a27cab59600a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,173,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,480,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,173,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Wild | 46c | 338,316$154,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,645.22 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 54c | 311,794$168,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168,347.06 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Senators | 0c | 165,303$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.29 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Senators | 54c | 111,226$60,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,062.02 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Wild | 47c | 81,511$38,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,415.68 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Wild | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,200 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Senators | 55c | 23,091$12,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,585.79 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Senators | 54c | 18,888$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.52 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Senators | 14c | 14,511$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.52 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 52c | 12,534$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.91 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 54c | 10,168$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.78 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wild | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Wild | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Wild | 45c | 9,858$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,421.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Wild | 62c | 9,687$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.37 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Wild | 45c | 9,150$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.49 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Wild | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Wild | 48c | 8,000$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.99 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 54c | 7,500$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Senators | 21c | 6,395$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.93 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…b330backed Senators | 54c | 5,728$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Wild | 46c | 5,520$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.79 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Wild | 45c | 5,280$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 75c | 5,186$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.18 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Senators | 0c | 5,150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 72c | 4,963$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.09 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…61a9backed Senators | 42c | 4,926$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…c635backed Senators | 54c | 4,653$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Senators | 54c | 4,489$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.07 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Senators | 54c | 4,455$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.73 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…674dbacked Senators | 54c | 4,116$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…888dbacked Wild | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 55c | 3,791$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.25 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Wild | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.49 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f5…fdebbacked Senators | 1c | 3,155$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…19e2backed Wild | 47c | 3,056$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…70ecbacked Wild | 47c | 3,006$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 21c | 2,905$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.41 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 21c | 2,783$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.4 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…5fadbacked Wild | 47c | 2,706$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Wild | 47c | 2,646$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.58 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wild | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Wild | 45c | 2,288$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.14 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 70c | 2,274$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wild | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Senators | 3c | 2,034$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Senators | 22c | 1,997$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.34 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…521ebacked Senators | 51c | 1,824$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Wild | 47c | 1,704$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Senators | 19c | 1,696$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.67 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Senators | 53c | 1,598$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.04 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Senators | 22c | 1,532$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Wild | 68c | 1,500$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.13 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Wild | 45c | 1,408$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Wild | 72c | 1,325$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.41 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Wild | 78c | 1,215$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.54 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Senators | 53c | 1,200$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.88 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Senators | 53c | 1,156$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.56 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Senators | 55c | 1,100$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.95 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Wild | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.2 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Senators | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Wild | 68c | 1,000$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.12 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Senators | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…da9dbacked Senators | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Wild | 48c | 959.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.19 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Senators | 29c | 924.51$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.14 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee0…ea5dbacked Wild | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Wild | 77c | 875.03$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.72 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Senators | 54c | 853.82$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.71 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Wild | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Wild | 71c | 784$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Senators | 55c | 777.98$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.89 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Wild | 73c | 769.61$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Wild | 80c | 737.82$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Wild | 47c | 710.42$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.52 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Senators | 52c | 694.92$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.36 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Wild | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Senators | 7c | 575.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Wild | 47c | 567$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 32c | 565.59$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.43 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Senators | 23c | 563.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Senators | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…0453backed Senators | 54c | 550$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed Senators | 37c | 550$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Senators | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Wild | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Wild | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Senators | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Senators | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Senators | 53c | 484.71$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.55 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Senators | 56c | 482.51$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.37 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Senators | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Senators | 53c | 466.77$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.39 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Senatorsthis page
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.