NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8235eea7c0b670882709b1738e50189ff9858dc3fe1230a49b78931917a43b36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 52c | 200,531$104,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,751.27 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 48c | 200,000$95,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,440.41 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 45c | 11,131$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.89 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 55c | 10,931$6,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.91 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 5,716$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 4,391$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.55 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 32c | 1,266$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.96 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 34c | 1,230$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.85 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 77c | 1,086$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.26 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 838.35$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.24 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 708.59$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.13 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 432.33$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 48c | 402.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.97 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 73c | 374.3$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Over | 48c | 238.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 26c | 225.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 67c | 219.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 44c | 196.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 150.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Over | 48c | 119.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 46c | 113.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 69c | 110.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 79c | 101.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 43c | 80.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Over | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 73c | 72.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Under | 53c | 66.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 45c | 65.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 53c | 57.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Under | 54c | 55.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 45c | 55.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed Over | 47c | 52.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 45c | 45.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 48c | 41.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Under | 54c | 36.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Over | 48c | 31.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 54c | 29.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Under | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 58c | 26.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c8…6746backed Over | 40c | 26.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 24.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Under | 79c | 18.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Under | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. SenatorsWild won
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.