NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d8391dd140baf0b22622667502c0141e8d2da61ce926df87c735ed1bf13e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 58c | 6,689$3,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.38 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 5,577$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.36 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 42c | 356.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 44c | 285.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 41c | 252.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 9c | 200.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 8c | 151$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 53c | 142.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 56c | 131.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 126.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 124.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 59c | 115.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 38c | 109$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 95.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 64c | 91.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 62c | 80.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 56c | 79.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Over | 45c | 76.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 46c | 73.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 55.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 42c | 54.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 20c | 49.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Under | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Over | 56c | 44.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Under | 42c | 35.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 56c | 32.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 57c | 32.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 49c | 30.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…dbfdbacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…3dfabacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…f08ebacked Over | 54c | 24.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…bcf4backed Over | 54c | 24.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6e…d363backed Under | 46c | 23.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f0…7155backed Over | 54c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b0…0ad6backed Over | 54c | 23.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…e52fbacked Over | 54c | 23.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Under | 44c | 23.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…3615backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…e19dbacked Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d15…b0e8backed Over | 54c | 22.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fa…76cabacked Over | 54c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f3…feb1backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…8d50backed Over | 54c | 21.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…4efcbacked Over | 54c | 20.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…81e7backed Over | 54c | 19.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe355…3fdebacked Over | 54c | 19.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd1…e879backed Over | 54c | 18.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 64c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. SenatorsWild won
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Wild vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.