TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Panthers, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$692,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$699,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 517 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens67c107,582$71,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,751.7467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Canadiens68c98,668$67,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,573.8251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Panthers32c85,500$27,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,36024349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Panthers39c69,097$27,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,128.1512835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Canadiens70c55,186$38,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,353.076352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Panthers33c50,238$16,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,336.191,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Panthers28c48,994$13,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,943.8522443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Panthers32c30,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.9914650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Panthers30c28,888$8,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,666.277038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Panthers33c25,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,25012047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Canadiens72c20,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60012152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens58c19,963$11,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,351.972,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Panthers28c17,500$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9912950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Canadiens72c12,500$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5005261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers34c10,319$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,476.9361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens55c10,215$5,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,585.3389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Canadiens68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Panthers31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Panthers33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9550049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2305…0acebacked Canadiens69c9,100$6,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3643…fd66backed Canadiens71c9,023$6,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Canadiens75c8,462$6,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.9938849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Canadiens53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.994139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Canadiens53c7,326$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.292,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Canadiens62c6,722$4,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.4644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Canadiens55c6,517$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.17047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Panthers34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Panthers31c6,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.9622747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Canadiens70c5,657$3,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.927448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Panthers29c5,268$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.7218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Panthers30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Panthers30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens63c4,880$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.651,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers31c4,720$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.181,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens70c4,714$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.581,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panthers61c4,713$2,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.621,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Panthers29c4,583$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3295230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Panthers34c4,412$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Panthers33c4,022$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.3130259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Canadiens67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Panthers32c4,000$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Panthers34c3,529$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Panthers36c3,369$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Canadiens61c3,359$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.5635551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers48c3,206$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.743,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Panthers30c3,110$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Panthers30c3,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89010240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Canadiens68c2,954$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.3710647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Panthers31c2,941$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.6115245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Canadiens68c2,880$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.9233450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Canadiens54c2,866$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Panthers58c2,850$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.5452172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panthers56c2,837$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.671,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Panthers28c2,826$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.282347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Panthers46c2,566$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.1940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Panthers29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7254738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Panthers28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Canadiens68c2,400$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76831550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens39c2,222$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.411,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Panthers67c2,141$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.2214946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4b…5345backed Canadiens70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Panthers31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9926750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Canadiens45c1,939$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.4433234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Panthers32c1,900$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60360337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens64c1,872$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.841,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Panthers53c1,771$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.381,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Canadiens53c1,760$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.5741850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x273c…9125backed Canadiens23c1,704$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.731764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Panthers34c1,515$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5156845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e1…a9cfbacked Canadiens65c1,500$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed Panthers30c1,491$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.616737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens69c1,420$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Canadiens52c1,386$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.3117353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9505…57acbacked Canadiens55c1,293$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Canadiens51c1,214$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.2840152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers34c1,173$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.52,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Canadiens64c1,164$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.2936948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Panthers9c1,148$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9331828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Canadiens64c1,143$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.911346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens69c1,033$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.2227850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens52c1,014$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.1270249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b58…8692backed Panthers33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panthers33c990.91$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3272,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Panthers58c965.35$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.6557157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Canadiens59c949.68$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.5727037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Canadiens62c920.91$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.388548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Canadiens65c915$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9592049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Canadiens68c840.36$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6816446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Panthers58c833.52$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.1814062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Canadiens61c808.38$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2625345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Canadiens44c808.04$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.4710746.7%50 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Canadiens33c800.64$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.051566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+47%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Panthers57c797.88$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.319759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Panthers57c793.58$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.77557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Panthers33c790.51$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.873158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Panthers57c775.63$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.4518452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Panthers61c743.9$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.9619254.7%105 W · 87 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Canadiens40c724.47$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.7151949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Panthers29c720.41$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.921,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Panthers35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509051.1%46 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.