NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8440fd4772af62a2b3d46b4fb716e9ac7325114e7fb6c3cd0ae788132aba43c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 50c | 15,000$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,574.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 50c | 8,992$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 49c | 5,296$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.98 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa624…eb73backed Under | 50c | 4,343$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 50c | 4,000$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 51c | 3,924$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.86 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 3,547$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.28 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 51c | 2,020$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.1 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 46c | 1,541$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.47 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 1,471$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.18 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 52c | 1,342$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.79 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Under | 70c | 1,020$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Over | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Under | 1c | 947.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 892.29$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.27 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 758.65$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.5 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 10c | 564.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 80c | 528$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Under | 53c | 505.6$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Over | 51c | 490.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 477.41$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.01 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 9c | 407.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Over | 50c | 401.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 47c | 355.6$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 52c | 337.51$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 49c | 277$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 35c | 264.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 210.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 50c | 168$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 151.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 50c | 142.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 71c | 136.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Under | 53c | 127.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 39c | 106.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 100.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a875backed Under | 71c | 91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…b16abacked Over | 51c | 77.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 52c | 75.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 48c | 72.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Under | 49c | 62.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 52c | 57.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 50c | 50.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Over | 22c | 49.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 51c | 48.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 61c | 41.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 37.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…853bbacked Under | 50c | 35.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 35.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 33.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 39c | 29.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 51c | 28.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…cf7fbacked Under | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5this page
- Panthers vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.