NHL · resolved market
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d4fd461a5ecfa15a6da91cf5ae6811dd2eee5ba553a101528f8eca94ec9aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Canadiens, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Panthers | 49c | 5,810$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.23 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 51c | 5,142$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.07 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers | 55c | 1,053$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.67 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,052$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.44 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Panthers | 49c | 985.19$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.45 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Canadiens | 50c | 968.89$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.45 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 52c | 703.11$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.14 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 49c | 423.74$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Canadiens | 49c | 394.17$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…b16abacked Canadiens | 52c | 391.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Panthers | 52c | 293.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Canadiens | 50c | 268.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Panthers | 55c | 236.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 55c | 212$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Canadiens | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Panthers | 49c | 195.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Canadiens | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Canadiens | 48c | 178.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Panthers | 54c | 147.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Panthers | 69c | 128.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Canadiens | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Canadiens | 45c | 109.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Panthers | 50c | 106.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Canadiens | 48c | 101.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Panthers | 49c | 98.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Canadiens | 48c | 97.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 87.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Panthers | 51c | 83.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Panthers | 50c | 80.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Panthers | 51c | 77.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Canadiens | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 231 | 48.9%113 W · 118 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Panthers | 54c | 75.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Canadiens | 45c | 72.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canadiens | 28c | 70.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8a…093bbacked Canadiens | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Canadiens | 52c | 63.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panthers | 75c | 62.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Canadiens | 20c | 57.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Panthers | 52c | 55.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 46c | 53.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Panthers | 50c | 50.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Panthers | 56c | 50.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Panthers | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Panthers | 55c | 49.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Panthers | 56c | 45.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Canadiens | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Panthers | 49c | 38.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 78c | 37.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…7eedbacked Panthers | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Panthers | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Panthers | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…ccf1backed Panthers | 56c | 24.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Panthers | 53c | 24.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…8fb2backed Canadiens | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Panthers | 76c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. CanadiensCanadiens won
- Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.