TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Oilers, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$855,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $855,896 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 658 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Utah55c363,347$201,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,213.9467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Oilers44c235,175$104,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,535.8951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Utah56c173,334$96,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,467.0116442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Oilers44c86,505$38,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,293.9436748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Oilers45c50,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,50048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Oilers45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0004650%23 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Oilers44c18,888$8,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,577.2821850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oilers45c17,863$8,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,791.191,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Utah52c17,515$9,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,021.0227448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers45c14,074$6,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,757.0861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfb…9c40backed Utah56c12,557$7,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,091.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Oilers45c12,246$5,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,735.318641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Utah13c11,245$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.451,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Oilers45c11,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0505552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Utah56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Oilers44c8,400$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70443548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,48060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Oilers45c8,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Oilers44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,48061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Oilers44c7,500$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…ae13backed Oilers45c6,533$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,593.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers44c6,252$2,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.51,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Oilers50c6,181$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.377755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed Oilers44c5,112$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.882846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Utah56c4,800$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,68815431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers44c4,545$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Oilers44c4,444$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.8389249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Utah73c4,399$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,190.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Utah56c4,316$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Utah32c4,264$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.722,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Utah55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Oilers44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers44c3,643$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.371,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Oilers44c3,625$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.142429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Utah56c3,514$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.6930552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Oilers48c3,378$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.682330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Oilers45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Oilers45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Utah56c2,671$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.8683652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Oilers44c2,663$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.284738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Utah35c2,618$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.392,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Oilers44c2,591$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.281,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Oilers44c2,585$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.473450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Oilers44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oilers43c2,307$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.61,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Utah53c2,110$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.2550049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Oilers43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Oilers44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1202958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Oilers45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Oilers44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Oilers44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9926750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah54c2,000$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.9660337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Oilers73c1,945$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.1352172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Utah35c1,898$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.6133234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers80c1,809$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Oilers44c1,800$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00831851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Utah51c1,797$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.879350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Utah57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Oilers47c1,710$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.575246.2%24 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Oilers44c1,687$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.721957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oilers47c1,684$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.071,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Oilers45c1,671$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.114955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Oilers44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89645749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Oilers46c1,543$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Utah55c1,530$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.4914954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Utah20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4949249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Utah55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Utah12c1,458$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Utah23c1,443$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1395049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Utah57c1,405$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.58852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Oilers36c1,331$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.4912328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Oilers43c1,321$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.0438849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Oilers45c1,293$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.3324952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Utah55c1,230$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.4576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Utah12c1,190$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0525635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Oilers45c1,121$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.4766552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Oilers45c1,112$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.626946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Oilers45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bad…614abacked Utah56c1,055$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.83650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed Utah11c1,026$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.114126.8%11 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Utah30c1,000$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9742847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Oilers44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56062249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed Utah11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Oilers69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3108860.2%53 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Utah55c999.83$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.911741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0a…a0f0backed Oilers40c925$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.56755.2%37 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Utah56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50422352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed Utah56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Oilers45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8931848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Oilers45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.897648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Utah35c872.81$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3299638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Oilers44c823.98$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.436262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa01c…d9afbacked Utah56c819.5$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.921668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Oilers45c816.42$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.031040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cbe…c2f3backed Utah61c800$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Utah55c773$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.157755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b4…fd9abacked Utah56c768.75$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.51560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah38c708.35$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.363,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Utah56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39232648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Oilers44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8211045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.