NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97ae7f200a8c86b30382118eec5490020e3e85a7f156fbf5479f92064ff7b2ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,721 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 1,507$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 996.7$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.41 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 454.2$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.38 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Under | 71c | 399.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 61c | 349.5$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 39c | 269.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 75c | 242$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.36 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 33c | 215$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 57c | 211.34$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 80c | 210$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 30c | 209.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 36c | 181.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 172.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 16c | 158.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 36c | 137$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 61c | 119$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 67c | 110.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5f…e176backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 25c | 98.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 36c | 96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 70c | 95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Under | 66c | 87.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 21c | 87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…635bbacked Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…8333backed Over | 37c | 54.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Over | 29c | 46.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 41.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 53c | 41.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 66c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 32c | 39.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 36.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 47c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 68c | 24.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Over | 50c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 18.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 7.5this page
- Oilers vs. UtahOilers won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.