NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed6c7c0628907460cf44f8c42a0da6f13d53e9f595d3f7efd318b0ba998e2a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,418 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 2,107$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.39 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 38c | 1,749$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.57 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 37c | 1,670$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.73 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 62c | 1,358$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.99 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 1,047$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 63c | 850$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 523.81$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.81 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 62c | 483.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 40c | 456$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 32c | 422.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 46c | 365.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.22 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 62c | 269$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 37c | 93.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 68c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 55c | 85.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 27c | 76.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 69.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 39c | 60.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…3d37backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…2c57backed Over | 64c | 46.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…5a81backed Under | 39c | 45.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 39c | 44.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 40c | 39.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 36c | 35.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Over | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 63c | 33.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Over | 64c | 32.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…db46backed Over | 65c | 30.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 68c | 18.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 63c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Oilers vs. UtahOilers won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.