NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6974477f35711b8d163fda1e4ca87c962ac8e542ecc15d81bae180aa8416216
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Utah, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,439 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Oilers | 68c | 6,000$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.12 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah | 32c | 2,498$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.48 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Utah | 32c | 2,194$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.12 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Utah | 34c | 885.69$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.08 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Utah | 32c | 687.82$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.1 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 67c | 582.27$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Utah | 28c | 405.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Utah | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oilers | 70c | 387$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Utah | 30c | 372$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Utah | 34c | 326.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Oilers | 66c | 326.47$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 66c | 278.3$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah | 33c | 269.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Oilers | 66c | 215.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Utah | 32c | 212.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Utah | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Utah | 33c | 167$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah | 31c | 166.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…cc45backed Utah | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Utah | 34c | 145.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Utah | 32c | 143.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Utah | 35c | 125.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Oilers | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Oilers | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Oilers | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Utah | 36c | 84.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Oilers | 71c | 83.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Utah | 38c | 80.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Oilers | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Oilers | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Utah | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Oilers | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Utah | 34c | 60.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Oilers | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Oilers | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Oilers | 67c | 49.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Oilers | 67c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Oilers | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Oilers | 68c | 38.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Utah | 32c | 38.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Oilers | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Utah | 33c | 36.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Oilers | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Oilers | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Oilers | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Oilers | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Oilers | 75c | 30.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Oilers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…3520backed Oilers | 65c | 29.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Oilers | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Oilers | 78c | 27.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Oilers | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Oilers | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oilers | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Oilers | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Oilers | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Oilers | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Oilers | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…f506backed Oilers | 71c | 16.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Oilers | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Oilers vs. UtahOilers won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.