TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,338 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c4,933$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.1485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Under51c3,622$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.837149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c3,526$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.4861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…06f8backed Under48c3,200$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfed…db6fbacked Over52c3,200$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under49c2,559$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.794240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under50c2,416$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.52,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over52c1,760$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.741,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c1,562$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.7666552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under49c1,334$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.86453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c1,334$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.6686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c1,246$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.0827048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c1,196$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.91,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over51c1,073$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.8891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Over52c863.8$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.621172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c860.4$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.61,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Over52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.234372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c708.33$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2411045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under47c570.86$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over52c569.3$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2662346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c529.62$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.221,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c515.52$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c506.15$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.631,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over53c494$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+61.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over58c468$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9417247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…de36backed Over51c441.18$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.182458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ee1…c8aabacked Under49c410.2$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over53c388$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.3633950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over52c371.56$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9828842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over52c329.52$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1716955.6%94 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over54c248.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.192,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c233$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.841,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over52c231$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8834752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under42c230.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7614140.4%57 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under22c220.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.481,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under24c210.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.263,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under33c182.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5b…9e9bbacked Under49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4e…00ddbacked Over51c178.19$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb33…6990backed Over51c175.45$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e97…b0f5backed Under49c175$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…4aa8backed Under49c173$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b3…23febacked Under49c173$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39c…f0cfbacked Over51c172.29$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0366…52f6backed Under49c167.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd037…0835backed Over51c166.18$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc8…d1dfbacked Under49c166$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d5f…24d5backed Under49c166$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…2435backed Over51c161.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb214…815fbacked Over51c157.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe259…7260backed Over51c155.88$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…6678backed Under49c155$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7073…d2c0backed Over51c154.44$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7d…d063backed Over51c147.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…6a69backed Over51c146.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1375…91c9backed Over51c139.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1804…8c61backed Under49c137$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db1…b430backed Under49c135$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…5014backed Over51c131.51$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f5…801cbacked Under49c131$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ca…e5a5backed Under49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…9babbacked Over51c127.71$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9799…2a2bbacked Under49c127$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0f…1d5abacked Over51c125.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…495ebacked Under49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89fb…a3aebacked Over51c124.81$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…3ca2backed Under49c123$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x810c…7607backed Under49c122$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…ed0bbacked Over51c121.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over58c112.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2865721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over52c112$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.769047.8%43 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over53c112$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.649347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Under48c99.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.931752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.39849%48 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.312551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c85.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.432045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over50c77.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8523950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over40c77$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.224442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over64c66.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9722759.5%135 W · 92 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under42c63.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.882,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.222255.9%124 W · 98 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over53c58.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.496051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over47c56.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.418548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c54.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1438551.4%198 W · 187 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd077…46c0backed Under49c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.462060%12 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…cd69backed Over52c53.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f6…8333backed Under49c52.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.681643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd91…3d37backed Over53c50.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.522138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.542750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0256553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.016145.9%28 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.