NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8633de421dfdf5ea9b5dc45faaffdf9e98695cd566e6742729202638b7fe478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,506,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,842,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,506,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,052 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic | 77c | 314,831$241,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,321.29 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans | 54c | 155,094$83,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,576.05 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Magic | 43c | 140,170$60,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,458.58 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Pelicans | 36c | 124,046$44,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,516.93 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Magic | 36c | 78,581$28,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,315.93 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Pelicans | 64c | 68,975$44,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,143.96 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 37c | 65,864$24,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,403.66 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Magic | 51c | 62,001$31,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,340.28 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 68c | 54,925$37,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,575.94 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…42b8backed Magic | 66c | 43,030$28,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,653.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 69cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Magic | 58c | 38,659$22,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,181.6 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Pelicans | 0c | 36,808$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Magic | 63c | 35,897$22,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,392.72 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 52c | 25,849$13,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,443.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pelicans | 53c | 23,518$12,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,458.19 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Pelicans | 0c | 22,865$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Magic | 65c | 21,336$13,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467.65 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Magic | 71c | 19,697$13,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,766.69 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Magic | 65c | 19,580$12,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,853 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans | 53c | 19,525$10,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,348.4 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 30c | 19,400$5,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.82 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 53c | 17,929$9,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,506.65 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 68c | 16,824$11,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.47 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans | 0c | 16,780$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 41c | 14,895$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,817.72 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 65c | 13,708$8,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.68 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Magic | 67c | 13,507$9,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.29 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Pelicans | 49c | 12,869$6,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,329.58 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…7c06backed Pelicans | 34c | 12,700$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Magic | 48c | 12,594$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.09 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Magic | 70c | 11,979$8,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.15 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Magic | 53c | 11,658$6,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.67 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Magic | 44c | 11,115$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,252.55 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Magic | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.67 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Pelicans | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Pelicans | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Magic | 66c | 7,837$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.51 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Pelicans | 34c | 7,737$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.62 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed Pelicans | 36c | 7,693$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Magic | 35c | 7,342$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pelicans | 34c | 7,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.96 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Pelicans | 31c | 6,920$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.81 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Magic | 65c | 6,767$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.45 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Magic | 68c | 6,650$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.78 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Magic | 66c | 6,441$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.38 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans | 0c | 6,324$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 36c | 6,038$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.34 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…9812backed Pelicans | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 66c | 5,741$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.51 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans | 51c | 5,068$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.79 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Pelicans | 57c | 5,007$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.36 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Pelicans | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Pelicans | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pelicans | 35c | 5,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.98 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Pelicans | 35c | 4,983$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.36 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 4,900$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Magic | 65c | 4,895$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.25 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Pelicans | 36c | 4,808$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.88 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Pelicans | 29c | 4,777$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.36 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Magic | 36c | 4,732$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.66 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans | 0c | 4,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…8e9fbacked Pelicans | 64c | 4,557$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 66c | 4,542$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.57 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340e…36f4backed Pelicans | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Pelicans | 35c | 4,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.97 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 35c | 4,498$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Magic | 66c | 4,455$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.86 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Pelicans | 35c | 4,420$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.2 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans | 61c | 4,271$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.66 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Pelicans | 35c | 4,262$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.55 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans | 33c | 4,262$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.55 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pelicans | 29c | 4,083$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.36 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed Magic | 69c | 4,077$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Pelicans | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pelicans | 32c | 3,732$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.01 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Magic | 63c | 3,725$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Magic | 58c | 3,588$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.79 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Magic | 67c | 3,431$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.13 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Pelicans | 51c | 3,425$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.98 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 65c | 3,348$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 67c | 3,267$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.11 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Pelicans | 46c | 3,195$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.84 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Magic | 65c | 3,012$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.31 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Magic | 68c | 2,885$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.11 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 66c | 2,715$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.28 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Pelicans | 37c | 2,701$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.73 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pelicans | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Magic | 63c | 2,451$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.04 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Pelicans | 60c | 2,419$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.69 | 152 | 19.7%30 W · 122 L | -26.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Pelicans | 24c | 2,415$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.84 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 57c | 2,402$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 64c | 2,337$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.4 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…3b78backed Pelicans | 17c | 2,287$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Pelicans | 60c | 2,274$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.13 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Magic | 70c | 2,259$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.63 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Pelicans | 31c | 2,250$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…c6c9backed Magic | 70c | 2,245$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Magic | 60c | 2,202$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.18 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Pelicans | 48c | 2,200$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.34 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Magic | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.73 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pelicansthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.