NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7580dde8b20a7b75b59785b7cc982ae0b11631cd7f438e7dab40f04745d16e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Magic, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Magic | 52c | 47,321$24,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,780.4 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 48c | 25,240$12,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,228.92 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Pelicans | 48c | 15,555$7,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,088.6 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans | 49c | 9,552$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.27 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 55c | 6,446$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Magic | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.96 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Magic | 52c | 3,735$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.4 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 55c | 2,831$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.94 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Magic | 52c | 2,802$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.8 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 55c | 2,761$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Magic | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Magic | 55c | 2,451$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.58 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Pelicans | 45c | 2,031$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.89 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Pelicans | 42c | 1,952$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.64 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,845$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 55c | 1,799$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Magic | 55c | 1,799$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Magic | 55c | 1,766$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.52 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b84…a239backed Magic | 56c | 1,386$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 51c | 1,282$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 42c | 1,258$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Pelicans | 44c | 1,163$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.28 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Magic | 59c | 1,158$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.76 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 54c | 1,089$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Magic | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.85 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Magic | 51c | 990.58$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Magic | 57c | 986.78$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.08 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Magic | 55c | 893.44$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.12 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Magic | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Magic | 55c | 878.64$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.61 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Pelicans | 39c | 808.74$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.6 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Pelicans | 47c | 751.62$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.36 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Pelicans | 45c | 622.44$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.23 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Magic | 55c | 540.59$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.32 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Magic | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Magic | 54c | 517.26$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.06 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 480$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Magic | 55c | 444.67$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.66 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Magic | 55c | 444.67$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.66 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0006…0215backed Magic | 63c | 425.27$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 46c | 417.91$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pelicans | 48c | 416.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.63 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Pelicans | 47c | 404$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 73c | 398.33$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 48c | 376.75$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Magic | 55c | 358.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Magic | 51c | 345.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.34 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pelicans | 46c | 343.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Magic | 51c | 342.59$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Magic | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 248 | 56.5%140 W · 108 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pelicans | 45c | 318.72$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.65 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pelicans | 42c | 307.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.16 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pelicans | 48c | 274.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Magic | 56c | 268.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Pelicans | 44c | 261.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Magic | 61c | 260.68$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pelicans | 52c | 235.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Pelicans | 48c | 228$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Magic | 55c | 224.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Magic | 52c | 224.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909c…f3bbbacked Magic | 51c | 217.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Pelicans | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Pelicans | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…2342backed Magic | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Magic | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Magic | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Magic | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Magic | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Magic | 57c | 146.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Pelicans | 45c | 141.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pelicans | 42c | 125$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Magic | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Pelicans | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 48c | 98.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Magic | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pelicans | 59c | 94.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Magic | 55c | 93.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Magic | 31c | 92.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Pelicans | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pelicans | 47c | 85.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e7…5744backed Magic | 17c | 74.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 73.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 71.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Pelicans | 47c | 70.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 65.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans | 71c | 65.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Magic | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Pelicans | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Pelicans | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Pelicans | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Pelicans | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Pelicans | 43c | 48.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…4fedbacked Magic | 62c | 47.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Magic | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Magic | 55c | 46.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Pelicans | 37c | 45.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Pelicans | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Magic vs. PelicansMagic won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.