NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29b34c9b2a9cf975b85fec14eaab0ce203be8012943f5b85fd00c41234133833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Magic | 58c | 25,437$14,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,802.95 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 66c | 22,030$14,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,592.72 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 42c | 11,649$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 37c | 9,182$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.62 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 59c | 6,542$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.67 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 42c | 6,103$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 44c | 4,695$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.35 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 41c | 4,305$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Magic | 56c | 4,054$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.75 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 49c | 3,822$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.43 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Pelicans | 42c | 2,228$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.75 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Pelicans | 42c | 2,125$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.39 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Pelicans | 42c | 2,023$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.86 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pelicans | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 35c | 1,621$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans | 43c | 1,600$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Pelicans | 36c | 1,378$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.9 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pelicans | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Magic | 56c | 1,170$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Pelicans | 27c | 1,092$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.34 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 44c | 1,079$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 58c | 1,037$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.49 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Magic | 58c | 1,037$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.49 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Pelicans | 42c | 1,032$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.36 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Magic | 59c | 1,026$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.84 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Magic | 59c | 1,023$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.52 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 43c | 1,020$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans | 42c | 805.28$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Magic | 62c | 801.57$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.15 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 59c | 599$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pelicans | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Magic | 59c | 481.8$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 45c | 477.72$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.75 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Pelicans | 43c | 472$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pelicans | 40c | 455.44$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pelicans | 41c | 450.82$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans | 37c | 376.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Magic | 51c | 364.72$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.23 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Magic | 61c | 355.27$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Magic | 59c | 355.13$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Magic | 58c | 337.03$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pelicans | 40c | 335.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Magic | 62c | 322.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pelicans | 44c | 319.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Magic | 42c | 311$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Magic | 59c | 275.28$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Pelicans | 34c | 261$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Magic | 29c | 225$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Magic | 59c | 210.37$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 45c | 201.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Pelicans | 42c | 197.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Pelicans | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…2cd4backed Magic | 49c | 190.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Magic | 59c | 181.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Magic | 58c | 176.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Pelicans | 53c | 175.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Magic | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Magic | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Pelicans | 42c | 163.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Magic | 54c | 156.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Pelicans | 38c | 154.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 59c | 152.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 42c | 149.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Magic | 27c | 147$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 140.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Pelicans | 51c | 139.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Pelicans | 51c | 139.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 139.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Pelicans | 51c | 139.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 68c | 127.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Magic | 59c | 126.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Magic | 33c | 125.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pelicans | 43c | 115.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Magic | 56c | 113.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Pelicans | 43c | 103.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Magic | 34c | 100.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Magic | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Magic | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Magic | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…b663backed Magic | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Pelicans | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans | 42c | 88.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Magic | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…fc7fbacked Magic | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Magic | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 35c | 78.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Magic | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Magic | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Pelicans | 38c | 72.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 41c | 69.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Pelicans | 26c | 66.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Pelicans | 45c | 59.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Pelicans | 42c | 59.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Pelicans | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Magic | 58c | 55.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Magic | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Pelicans | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pelicans won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Magic vs. PelicansMagic won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.