TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c6,495$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Over48c6,033$2,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.7115945.9%73 W · 86 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over34c5,968$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.853,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c5,395$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.172,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c3,594$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c2,848$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.521,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4fd…b5afbacked Over47c2,612$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over46c1,969$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over46c1,940$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.3124151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c1,733$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.61,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c1,328$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over16c1,312$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2718835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over47c1,001$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.4741649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under52c961.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.531,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c961.12$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.761,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c862.51$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over47c821.32$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.025839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c653.7$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.781,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over47c646.21$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.7221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c607.25$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.891,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c551.13$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under53c545.85$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4629849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over47c542.81$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1217850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c536.16$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under53c519.91$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3610943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under55c512.52$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under53c487.64$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.8858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over47c471.57$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under54c385.79$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.811,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c370.04$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.621,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under49c345.81$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c330.11$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over20c287.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9410239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over15c215.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.219550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over37c193.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1825049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Under51c156.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.397052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under51c156.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5734247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c135.79$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.882,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over11c128.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4713052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over14c128.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1114852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c121.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.853,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c114.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.32,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over12c112.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1715252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4166046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under62c102.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.974667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over13c99.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.919641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under53c97.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1735546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over14c96.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.15448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over25c86.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4311346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under50c84.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0540750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under52c80.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.641,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Under76c77.87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.746861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.849247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over19c74.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Under50c73.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.416962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1ee…9230backed Over16c70.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c66.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.711,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over24c62.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under64c61.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0435052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Over41c60.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7910345.6%47 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over47c50.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5423840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8c…8198backed Under50c39.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Under50c39.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.737846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under54c38.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.892,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2421952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2433258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under64c35.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8312752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under52c34.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Under49c29.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.072642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c28.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.791,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under53c27.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.071,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over52c27.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.347047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over48c27.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1721149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under72c24.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c23.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under54c23.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under51c23.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4115562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under52c20.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0114845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Under53c19.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.019057.8%52 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under59c17.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3517553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.