Tennis · resolved market
Morelia: Stefan Kozlov vs Andres Martin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a50874987ceae7953620667c9fe3dd70e62508f2cced577f99682fca4ce3de5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andres Martinof Stefan Kozlov, Andres Martin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,317 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Andres Martin | 48c | 4,445$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.67 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Stefan Kozlov | 40c | 2,486$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stefan Kozlov | 60c | 1,349$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.13 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andres Martin | 59c | 1,219$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Stefan Kozlov | 59c | 992.23$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Andres Martin | 65c | 678.8$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…8479backed Andres Martin | 62c | 524.8$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Stefan Kozlov | 34c | 439.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Andres Martin | 61c | 432.03$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.43 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Stefan Kozlov | 24c | 360.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…6df7backed Andres Martin | 74c | 337.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Stefan Kozlov | 60c | 328$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…5a49backed Stefan Kozlov | 62c | 320.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Stefan Kozlov | 32c | 303.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefan Kozlov | 38c | 259.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stefan Kozlov | 60c | 202.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stefan Kozlov | 61c | 190.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Stefan Kozlov | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Andres Martin | 41c | 155.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Stefan Kozlov | 60c | 126.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Stefan Kozlov | 18c | 115.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Stefan Kozlov | 28c | 106.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Stefan Kozlov | 61c | 103.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Andres Martin | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stefan Kozlov | 28c | 98.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stefan Kozlov | 62c | 97.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Stefan Kozlov | 62c | 97.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Stefan Kozlov | 32c | 90.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefan Kozlov | 32c | 78.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stefan Kozlov | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Andres Martin | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Stefan Kozlov | 60c | 57.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Andres Martin | 41c | 55.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Stefan Kozlov | 22c | 54.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Stefan Kozlov | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Stefan Kozlov | 43c | 50.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Andres Martin | 38c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Stefan Kozlov | 60c | 43.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Andres Martin | 43c | 43.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Stefan Kozlov | 61c | 41.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Andres Martin | 63c | 41.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Stefan Kozlov | 60c | 41.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Stefan Kozlov | 61c | 41.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Andres Martin | 40c | 40.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…e318backed Andres Martin | 43c | 32.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Stefan Kozlov | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…9c84backed Andres Martin | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Stefan Kozlov | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Stefan Kozlov | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Andres Martin | 68c | 27.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Andres Martin | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 74cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Andres Martin | 56c | 26.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Andres Martin | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Stefan Kozlov | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…e8f7backed Andres Martin | 59c | 18.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 52 | 78.8%41 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Stefan Kozlov | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.