MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b8eb3b0fa99223c99066dd6ee30f63489a1eedca68ecd10d6b0a063efca6177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Houston Astros | 46c | 240,242$109,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,829.95 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 105,670$58,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,118.55 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 55,428$29,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,888.05 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 51,467$27,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,789.67 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 24,627$13,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,298.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Houston Astros | 46c | 17,789$8,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,608.19 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 8,529$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,469.79 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 8,327$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.48 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 7,586$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.81 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 6,006$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.31 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Boston Red Sox | 9c | 5,617$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.84 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Houston Astros | 64c | 4,248$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.71 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,544$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.96 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Houston Astros | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Houston Astros | 47c | 3,000$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 2,750$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.49 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Houston Astros | 48c | 2,734$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.49 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 2,420$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.4 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Houston Astros | 68c | 2,403$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.44 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 2,389$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 62c | 2,375$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,046$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.83 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,041$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 1,882$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,873$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…cec6backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,856$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Houston Astros | 79c | 1,809$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.84 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,795$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.45 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,745$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.09 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 1,276$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.82 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Houston Astros | 65c | 1,121$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.98 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,069$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.26 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,032$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.82 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,030$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.71 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.04 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,012$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.31 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Boston Red Sox | 3c | 998.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 996.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Boston Red Sox | 5c | 749.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 616.16$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 541.8$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.57 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 535.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.43 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 520.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Houston Astros | 59c | 504.22$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.79 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 504$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Boston Red Sox | 6c | 498.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 492.55$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 492.51$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.11 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 490.88$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 488.42$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Boston Red Sox | 11c | 482.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 456.06$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 456.06$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Houston Astros | 59c | 455.04$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 430.97$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Houston Astros | 47c | 428.5$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.1 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Houston Astros | 46c | 428.3$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.28 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Houston Astros | 47c | 422.59$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.97 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Houston Astros | 59c | 416.94$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…de36backed Houston Astros | 59c | 414.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Houston Astros | 58c | 413$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.85 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Houston Astros | 58c | 406.91$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 46c | 397.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.92 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 68c | 395.63$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.04 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 392.93$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.18 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 353.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 350.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 346.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 316$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Houston Astros | 47c | 315.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 315.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…bedabacked Boston Red Sox | 5c | 311.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Houston Astros | 48c | 308.31$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Houston Astros | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Houston Astros | 59c | 291.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Houston Astros | 75c | 280.52$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…b596backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 272.91$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 268.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 268.68$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Houston Astros | 44c | 266.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Houston Astros | 48c | 259.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 48c | 255.69$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 253.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 253.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Houston Astros | 47c | 240.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 236.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 233$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Houston Astros | 47c | 228.53$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 226.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 223.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 221.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 220.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 220.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 218.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Houston Astros | 47c | 216.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Houston Astros | 47c | 209.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 209.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Houston Astros | 48c | 209.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.