NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Jazz

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc972410ec55080e872219b22bdddc8b932283f55041ea89a9fa37135616708c9

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Nuggets, Jazz
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,077,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,187,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,077,823 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz	1c	53,021$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.84	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz	5c	46,942$2,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,369.14	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Jazz	1c	28,214$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.19	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz	5c	26,723$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.12	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Jazz	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Jazz	0c	23,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz	4c	21,659$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.96	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Jazz	0c	21,247$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.04	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz	1c	20,195$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.09	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Jazz	7c	19,927$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353.62	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Jazz	6c	19,393$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.88	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	7c	14,029$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.21	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz	3c	11,718$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.22	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz	3c	10,755$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.43	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Jazz	7c	9,905$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.98	548	38%208 W · 340 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz	0c	8,778$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.73	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz	7c	7,571$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.01	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0cf…1202backed Jazz	0c	6,949$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Jazz	7c	6,900$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.24	102	25.5%26 W · 76 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Jazz	7c	6,830$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.07	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Jazz	8c	6,298$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.84	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	8c	5,789$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.14	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Jazz	3c	5,768$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.4	141	7.8%11 W · 130 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Jazz	7c	5,698$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.79	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Jazz	4c	5,525$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.9	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Jazz	4c	5,453$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.01	49	6.1%3 W · 46 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-72%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Jazz	6c	5,421$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.81	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Jazz	7c	5,401$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.05	292	43.8%128 W · 164 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz	7c	5,325$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.35	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce1…86afbacked Jazz	6c	4,800$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.06	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Jazz	7c	4,199$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.94	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Jazz	5c	4,189$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.69	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Jazz	8c	4,159$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.2	164	21.3%35 W · 129 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cdd…d3ecbacked Jazz	5c	4,046$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.58	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	7c	4,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.99	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	5c	3,941$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.04	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Jazz	8c	3,897$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.78	112	35.7%40 W · 72 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz	5c	3,785$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.07	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Jazz	7c	3,321$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.45	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Jazz	7c	3,314$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.95	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Jazz	5c	3,233$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.7	252	26.6%67 W · 185 L	-26.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x49e5…03fdbacked Jazz	0c	2,954$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.02	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Jazz	8c	2,953$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.2	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz	8c	2,834$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.75	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz	1c	2,770$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.34	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Jazz	14c	2,701$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.63	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Jazz	2c	2,477$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.06	50	40%20 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz	4c	2,473$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.45	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz	8c	2,362$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.96	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Jazz	8c	2,130$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.06	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Jazz	1c	2,039$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	265	30.9%82 W · 183 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Jazz	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	148	53.4%79 W · 69 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd0…865fbacked Jazz	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Jazz	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jazz	7c	1,999$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.92	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked Jazz	8c	1,930$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.55	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	-6.1wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Jazz	6c	1,927$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.41	423	35.9%152 W · 271 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Jazz	5c	1,886$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.41	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	4c	1,869$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.98	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Jazz	4c	1,706$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.13	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c8…5cf2backed Jazz	2c	1,649$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eec…e587backed Jazz	6c	1,573$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.36	208	55.8%116 W · 92 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Jazz	8c	1,535$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.82	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Jazz	6c	1,534$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.39	71	15.5%11 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Jazz	6c	1,501$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.38	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Jazz	8c	1,476$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.1	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Jazz	7c	1,368$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.41	139	32.4%45 W · 94 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9087…9532backed Jazz	5c	1,364$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.79	82	29.3%24 W · 58 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ebf…e50fbacked Jazz	7c	1,360$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.22	651	44.5%290 W · 361 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf00…373cbacked Jazz	6c	1,298$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.77	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Jazz	8c	1,181$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.48	179	44.1%79 W · 100 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Jazz	8c	1,181$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.48	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88bc…8235backed Jazz	2c	1,160$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.68	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26e9…cd29backed Jazz	6c	1,119$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.05	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Jazz	7c	1,077$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.41	249	37.3%93 W · 156 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Jazz	8c	1,039$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.14	710	44.6%317 W · 393 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461e…c18ebacked Jazz	5c	1,025$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.14	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3199…a556backed Jazz	4c	1,007$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.7	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c90…c394backed Jazz	4c	999.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Jazz	7c	999.93$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz	9c	995.67$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.86	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Jazz	5c	985.22$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.25	216	5.6%12 W · 204 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-61%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46e5…79f3backed Jazz	5c	976.79$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.31	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Jazz	3c	970.69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	553	16.5%91 W · 462 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dd…3c69backed Jazz	8c	944.8$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.58	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Jazz	6c	899.95$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Jazz	5c	890$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e68…760fbacked Jazz	8c	878.66$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.29	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9985…dad8backed Jazz	3c	874.82$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Jazz	4c	860.19$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.71	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Jazz	7c	855.97$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.64	74	18.9%14 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Jazz	2c	828.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.18	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a0…e774backed Jazz	6c	803.01$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.08	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb3…26aebacked Jazz	6c	798.54$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.18	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Jazz	9c	781.3$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.06	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Jazz	8c	661.36$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.91	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Jazz	5c	657.95$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.87	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-8.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7f18…57a8backed Jazz	4c	631.43$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Jazz	5c	625.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.32	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Jazz	5c	612.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.28	185	34.1%63 W · 122 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Jazz

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event