NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4118c9fb4eddeba077eb60aad4df31f9390accc79b1989f9435d8fb52e9c367f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $942,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $949,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $942,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 659,951$333,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333,531.49 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 300,000$149,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,999.98 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 49c | 196,078$96,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,999.78 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 49c | 91,411$44,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,619.8 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 51c | 72,578$37,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,014.74 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 62,436$30,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,685.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 56,470$28,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,451.7 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…ddf4backed Over | 51c | 43,561$22,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,215.87 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 40,264$19,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,503.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 51c | 30,668$15,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,504.79 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 51c | 29,954$15,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,677.32 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Under | 56c | 16,524$9,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,265 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 14,129$6,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,282.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 13,906$6,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,953 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.97 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 9,583$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.9 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 5,996$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.71 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 5,874$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.94 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 4,546$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.88 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 51c | 4,283$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.65 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Under | 48c | 3,827$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.92 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 3,277$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.89 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Under | 49c | 2,930$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.06 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 2,541$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.72 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 49c | 2,285$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.04 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 1,520$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.53 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 1,240$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 50c | 1,038$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 49c | 994.25$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.07 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 51c | 974.68$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.09 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 51c | 849.28$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 49c | 635.06$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.88 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 626.89$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…11c3backed Under | 70c | 597.29$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Under | 49c | 580$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 60c | 562.53$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.39 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 561.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.26 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 42c | 549.32$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 546.95$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 51c | 517.33$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 514.56$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 506.3$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.87 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 445.01$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.56 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 415.53$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Over | 52c | 401.7$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.81 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Over | 51c | 395.01$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 52c | 339.92$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Under | 51c | 323.21$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Under | 48c | 312.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 60c | 302.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.69 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 281.18$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 50c | 266.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.27 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 259.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 51c | 254.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 52c | 230.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 46c | 227.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 227.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…a08abacked Under | 66c | 208.36$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 49c | 203.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 48c | 200.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 49c | 196.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 193.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 193.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 50c | 190.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under | 43c | 159.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Under | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 156.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 152.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 52c | 145.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 51c | 144.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Under | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Under | 50c | 135.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Over | 41c | 122.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 40c | 121.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 19c | 121.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 51c | 120.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 119.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Over | 52c | 107.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…8ac3backed Under | 46c | 104.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 99.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under | 49c | 98.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…6542backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 51c | 95.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5this page
- Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Cody Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. JazzNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 250.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Nuggets (-17.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.