MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff93e76eb8fa9a646a43ee0a7d453702c5c66f0e25bbe089d1e20ef7efc5ad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 36,994$21,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,086.71 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 14,130$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,054.16 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 9,339$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.7 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 8,975$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 6,910$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.53 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 5,504$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 5,240$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 3,644$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 3,567$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 3,151$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.12 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 3,115$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 3,000$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,931$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,846$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.92 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.05 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,234$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.22 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,069$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 2,054$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 1,999$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 1,270$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.97 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,242$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.68 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,231$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 1,204$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,169$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.08 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,065$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.97 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 1,063$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Miami Marlins | 20c | 1,028$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.29 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 925.19$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.36 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 715.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.49 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 707.08$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.9 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 699.44$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.73 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 686.85$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 24c | 657.4$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.11 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 595.07$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.28 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 552.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.77 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 481.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.32 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 467.76$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 439.83$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Miami Marlins | 14c | 426.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 400$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 397.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 397.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…1385backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 394.66$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 386.18$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 365.53$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.69 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…3944backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 359.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 351.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 350.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 349.6$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 339.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.08 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 318.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 316.68$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 310$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 302.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.68 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 283.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.05 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 250.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 240.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 229.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 221.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 219.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff8…93abbacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 216.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 213.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 211.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 207.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 204.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 199.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 197.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 197.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 197.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 195.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 194.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 193.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 191.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 190.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 184.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 182.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 178.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 175.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 172.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 169.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 168.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 166.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…f339backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 154.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Miami Marlins | 14c | 154.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 147.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 143.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 140.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 138.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 137.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 136.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 135.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…c6a6backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 135.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 122.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Chicago White Sox vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.