TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Appalachian State vs. Georgia State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Appalachian Stateof Appalachian State, Georgia State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x090a…01b4backed Georgia State43c12,899$5,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,546.5511846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Appalachian State57c12,500$7,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,37527246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Georgia State43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9838142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Appalachian State54c3,978$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.849443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Georgia State46c3,561$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.4475651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Appalachian State59c3,178$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.0321055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Appalachian State58c2,387$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.2815745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Georgia State1c2,177$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.01814.9%4 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Appalachian State54c1,781$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.2681847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc884…13d3backed Appalachian State57c1,729$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d5…e6d2backed Georgia State44c1,729$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Appalachian State55c1,192$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.721,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x637a…6d23backed Appalachian State57c1,142$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.894860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Georgia State42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Appalachian State53c830.67$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.416465.6%42 W · 22 L+14.8wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+58.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Georgia State42c800.53$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0913450.7%68 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Georgia State43c775.35$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6262843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Appalachian State54c746.79$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.5285947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Appalachian State55c730.66$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8550358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Georgia State43c713$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5926147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Appalachian State58c691.89$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5915352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Georgia State42c622$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2417361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Georgia State6c438.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.333661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ad0…3339backed Georgia State42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Georgia State6c249.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Georgia State41c179.39$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.457041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Georgia State42c162.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.832,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…15dcbacked Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f6…6df9backed Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…827abacked Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6695…eeb3backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b6…10c9backed Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc122…5591backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f4…1e16backed Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef40…46a2backed Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…f200backed Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…9e35backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x318f…938ebacked Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd16f…9612backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…5f1abacked Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2075…4affbacked Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x565f…1529backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe512…3083backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f0…e8c2backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0952…a3d9backed Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e18…c310backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d2…0048backed Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce0…9667backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e3d…4431backed Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bd…3e52backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad5…1eacbacked Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x991b…9159backed Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a9…5dc3backed Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd148…2a0fbacked Appalachian State57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa50d…cc2abacked Georgia State44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Appalachian State58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.312951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Appalachian State48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Georgia State41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4128032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Georgia State24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2425819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Georgia State42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016839.9%67 W · 101 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Georgia State44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409752.6%51 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Appalachian State58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.820757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Georgia State43c77.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.26869.1%47 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Georgia State41c74.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.710742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Appalachian State57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.186630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Georgia State41c62.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7822030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6755…8972backed Georgia State43c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Appalachian State57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.520950.2%105 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed89…647bbacked Georgia State42c49.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.585141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Georgia State44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ab…fcabbacked Georgia State44c42.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Appalachian State57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2968…e0c4backed Georgia State44c38.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Georgia State46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4240244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ed…e223backed Appalachian State57c36.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6e…f363backed Appalachian State58c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ac…33b2backed Appalachian State57c35.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+92%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Georgia State46c30.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2455350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c9…b374backed Georgia State44c29.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c36…7b5abacked Georgia State44c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc360…e9babacked Appalachian State57c27.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a8…df3dbacked Appalachian State57c25.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67e…3528backed Georgia State44c25.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5eb…b3ecbacked Appalachian State58c25.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Appalachian State80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3a…d4d5backed Appalachian State73c24.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…93b1backed Appalachian State57c23.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.116100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+111.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.