NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59dcc7f18170ea3a5a269ace1bfafce7aa2ffaca47a013ea7f5f584ffe6b4191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Ducks, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Red Wings | 55c | 127,947$71,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,939.31 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Ducks | 43c | 47,219$20,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,386.01 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 76c | 34,942$26,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,415.41 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 44c | 21,644$9,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,523.26 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Red Wings | 57c | 18,237$10,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,841.86 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 58c | 17,016$9,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.14 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 43c | 16,536$7,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,158.95 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa3…08f2backed Ducks | 25c | 15,382$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Red Wings | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Red Wings | 56c | 13,983$7,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.4 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Red Wings | 56c | 11,311$6,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,976.84 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Ducks | 42c | 11,295$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.31 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 44c | 11,157$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.82 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Ducks | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Ducks | 43c | 8,774$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.48 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ducks | 43c | 8,762$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.48 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Red Wings | 57c | 8,697$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.85 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Ducks | 46c | 8,500$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Ducks | 43c | 7,141$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.92 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Red Wings | 57c | 7,017$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 33c | 6,124$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ducks | 22c | 5,437$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.73 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 43c | 5,233$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 43c | 4,819$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.11 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Ducks | 42c | 4,610$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.2 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Ducks | 45c | 4,563$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.35 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks | 43c | 4,547$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.4 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Ducks | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 12c | 4,169$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.34 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Ducks | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Ducks | 43c | 3,414$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.5 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Ducks | 45c | 3,023$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.77 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Red Wings | 56c | 2,857$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.16 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 57c | 2,500$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.24 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Ducks | 30c | 2,299$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.81 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Ducks | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Ducks | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Ducks | 9c | 2,210$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Ducks | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Ducks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 28c | 1,931$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.28 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 44c | 1,829$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.7 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 8c | 1,801$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Ducks | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…7d52backed Ducks | 41c | 1,668$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.51 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Ducks | 44c | 1,616$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.95 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Ducks | 42c | 1,554$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Ducks | 44c | 1,530$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.2 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Ducks | 45c | 1,500$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.13 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b4…0922backed Ducks | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…77e3backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,489$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings | 52c | 1,411$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.44 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Ducks | 27c | 1,392$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.95 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Ducks | 44c | 1,386$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Ducks | 42c | 1,224$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Ducks | 44c | 1,223$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks | 41c | 1,200$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Ducks | 44c | 1,191$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.87 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 4c | 1,120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…4421backed Ducks | 47c | 1,062$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…624fbacked Red Wings | 57c | 1,061$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Ducks | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.03 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc912…397dbacked Ducks | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Ducks | 27c | 1,000$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Ducks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Red Wings | 67c | 1,000$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Ducks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Ducks | 46c | 999.9$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.96 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Ducks | 49c | 959.11$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 46c | 946.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.71 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ducks | 45c | 933.33$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…06f8backed Ducks | 44c | 930.68$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Ducks | 43c | 929.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Red Wings | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Ducks | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks | 41c | 854$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Ducks | 39c | 838.11$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…3ad0backed Red Wings | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…cb54backed Ducks | 47c | 799.95$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 56c | 750$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…2c92backed Ducks | 44c | 701.82$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Red Wings | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ducks | 5c | 699.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…72a3backed Ducks | 47c | 695.74$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Ducks | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Ducks | 44c | 681.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…c153backed Ducks | 46c | 674.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…8139backed Red Wings | 53c | 668.25$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Ducks | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks | 46c | 649.96$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.98 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ducks | 53c | 640.09$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.65 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…588cbacked Ducks | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…1831backed Red Wings | 53c | 632.8$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Red Wings | 68c | 632.26$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.06 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Ducks vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.