MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb52abe34b36de66afcbc783af4d1ac0ec5f178c38c9060682986a99581528f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Orioles, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,397,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,512,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,397,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Orioles | 42c | 1,024,844$427,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427,844.64 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Guardians | 71c | 276,877$197,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,875.73 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Guardians | 58c | 253,991$148,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,677.38 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 58c | 132,196$76,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,226.32 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians | 60c | 117,332$69,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,399.46 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Guardians | 58c | 99,439$57,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,764.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 58c | 83,654$48,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,941.71 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Orioles | 40c | 61,790$24,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,716 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Guardians | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 58c | 44,566$25,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,802.61 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Guardians | 58c | 34,483$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,482.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Orioles | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.87 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 60c | 19,500$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Guardians | 59c | 16,527$9,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,762.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Guardians | 58c | 14,500$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,090 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 61c | 13,032$7,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.45 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 58c | 11,400$6,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…2ef3backed Orioles | 44c | 9,999$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…7fc3backed Guardians | 56c | 9,991$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 69c | 9,867$6,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Guardians | 58c | 7,300$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 41c | 7,117$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.92 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Orioles | 40c | 7,075$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 57c | 6,792$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.56 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Orioles | 35c | 5,942$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 59c | 5,562$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 59c | 5,359$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.71 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 60c | 5,300$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Guardians | 58c | 5,267$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.13 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 56c | 4,853$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.49 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Orioles | 41c | 4,296$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.48 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Orioles | 43c | 3,629$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.97 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 58c | 3,620$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.4 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Orioles | 33c | 3,015$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Orioles | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 38c | 2,966$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.61 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Orioles | 11c | 2,863$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.69 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 37c | 2,609$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.04 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Guardians | 58c | 2,600$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Guardians | 59c | 2,390$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.83 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…943abacked Guardians | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…4f12backed Orioles | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Guardians | 56c | 2,198$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.14 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…5547backed Orioles | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…e6dabacked Guardians | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 25c | 1,656$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.1 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Guardians | 59c | 1,645$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.74 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…fbfdbacked Guardians | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Guardians | 58c | 1,550$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8150backed Orioles | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 59c | 1,283$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.84 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Guardians | 63c | 1,202$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 79c | 1,088$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.91 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Guardians | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…f0bbbacked Guardians | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 42c | 915.47$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.19 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Orioles | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 60c | 625$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 41c | 610$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Guardians | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Orioles | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 42c | 551$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Orioles | 40c | 539.45$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.77 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 56c | 520$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Guardians | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 3c | 463.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Guardians | 57c | 441.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Guardians | 56c | 436.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a58ebacked Guardians | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…f704backed Orioles | 44c | 321.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Guardians | 59c | 312$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 42c | 296$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Guardians | 57c | 278.37$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Guardians | 60c | 276.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 43c | 263.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Orioles | 45c | 258.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 58c | 255.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…0f93backed Orioles | 40c | 250.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Orioles | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 44c | 238.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Orioles | 43c | 232.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Guardians | 57c | 231.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 44c | 228.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 55c | 219.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Orioles | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Orioles | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Orioles | 6c | 189.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 60c | 187$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Orioles | 41c | 186.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.