MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb9f91e1e8a564a52deebcd1d1d7fa2382daeaa9f9ed3ef33cfb2be57efa6bb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Marlins, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $514,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $515,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 753 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Braves | 45c | 179,325$81,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,912.06 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Braves | 26c | 72,819$19,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,807.62 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Marlins | 56c | 61,463$34,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,419.33 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 72c | 47,878$34,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,480.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins | 54c | 33,600$18,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,144 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 54c | 33,059$17,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,842.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Marlins | 22c | 22,947$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Marlins | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Braves | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.9 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Braves | 44c | 19,470$8,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,903.2 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Marlins | 54c | 12,128$6,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,561 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 54c | 9,300$5,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 64c | 9,046$5,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,788.22 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Braves | 47c | 7,550$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 55c | 7,529$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,110.95 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Marlins | 55c | 7,042$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.93 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 53c | 6,780$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.61 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 66c | 6,345$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Marlins | 53c | 6,281$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.89 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Braves | 47c | 6,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…c2d6backed Marlins | 48c | 5,835$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Braves | 49c | 5,574$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.3 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Marlins | 54c | 5,140$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.76 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 67c | 5,136$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.29 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Braves | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Marlins | 55c | 4,600$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Braves | 18c | 4,495$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 55c | 4,401$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.51 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…c119backed Marlins | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…63b4backed Braves | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…4488backed Braves | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 48c | 3,319$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.06 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 68c | 3,267$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.63 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Marlins | 52c | 3,088$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Marlins | 55c | 2,985$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.75 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Marlins | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Marlins | 56c | 2,407$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.77 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Marlins | 54c | 2,352$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…2df0backed Braves | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 78c | 2,217$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.67 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 72c | 2,096$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.97 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves | 49c | 2,075$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.22 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Marlins | 36c | 2,005$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.94 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Marlins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Marlins | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Marlins | 11c | 1,758$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 34c | 1,757$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.99 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Marlins | 50c | 1,587$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.31 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Braves | 48c | 1,586$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.79 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Marlins | 52c | 1,370$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.84 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 43c | 1,304$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 38c | 1,292$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.13 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Braves | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Braves | 22c | 1,189$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.39 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves | 49c | 1,168$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.57 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Braves | 50c | 1,108$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.1 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Braves | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Marlins | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,092$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Marlins | 53c | 1,065$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.35 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Marlins | 71c | 991.7$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.11 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Marlins | 54c | 937.2$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.09 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Braves | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Braves | 33c | 849.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.49 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Braves | 17c | 839.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.52 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Braves | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Braves | 47c | 782.52$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.64 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 44c | 773.59$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.21 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Marlins | 55c | 705.38$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Marlins | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Braves | 46c | 697.61$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins | 58c | 680.13$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.42 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Marlins | 50c | 679.44$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.72 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked Braves | 44c | 647.5$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…27a6backed Marlins | 51c | 607$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…ee40backed Braves | 49c | 601$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Braves | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.51 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…38a9backed Braves | 49c | 599$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…8e12backed Marlins | 51c | 593$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Braves | 50c | 548.34$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.86 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 55c | 547.1$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.02 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Braves | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Marlins | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 49c | 445.09$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Marlins | 56c | 445.03$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Marlins | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 47c | 399.97$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Marlins | 54c | 399.74$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Braves | 47c | 391.56$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.53 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Marlins | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…6982backed Marlins | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Marlins | 74c | 333.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.29 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Braves | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Marlins | 32c | 323$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…add1backed Marlins | 49c | 310.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Braves | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.