MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce90ea5d3844942541724a85cdd258e11c35d549b4ed32ce7f3430b8f599f320
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Marlins, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 602 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Guardians | 55c | 5,999$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.23 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 44c | 5,296$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.32 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Marlins | 43c | 4,612$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marlins | 45c | 4,300$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Guardians | 55c | 3,785$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.09 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Guardians | 59c | 3,414$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.81 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 57c | 2,797$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.22 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 59c | 2,604$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.43 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…0ddfbacked Guardians | 56c | 2,385$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…724abacked Marlins | 44c | 2,384$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 28c | 2,045$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.69 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 45c | 1,903$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.34 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…7660backed Marlins | 43c | 1,814$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,647$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.32 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Guardians | 56c | 1,501$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.57 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 44c | 1,489$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 44c | 1,401$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.59 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 15c | 1,317$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 69c | 1,313$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.56 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…9f91backed Guardians | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…f4fabacked Marlins | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…6a3cbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…3305backed Guardians | 57c | 1,172$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Guardians | 57c | 1,143$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.61 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Marlins | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Guardians | 58c | 1,121$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.18 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 45c | 1,106$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…0a9ebacked Marlins | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…5f1abacked Guardians | 76c | 1,060$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…a38cbacked Guardians | 58c | 1,028$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…6375backed Guardians | 58c | 1,022$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 57c | 999.96$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…cf0dbacked Marlins | 42c | 979$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…8d36backed Guardians | 57c | 937$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…b194backed Guardians | 57c | 877$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 56c | 820.11$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Guardians | 56c | 801.18$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.52 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Marlins | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 40c | 766.53$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.42 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Marlins | 45c | 764.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians | 55c | 749.98$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.49 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 62c | 717$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Guardians | 55c | 666$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Guardians | 54c | 631.59$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.59 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marlins | 43c | 611.86$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 73c | 601.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Guardians | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Guardians | 60c | 585.08$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins | 46c | 543.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Marlins | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 56c | 461.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 31c | 381.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195c…f698backed Guardians | 56c | 378.57$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Marlins | 45c | 378.49$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Marlins | 44c | 374.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 41c | 371.62$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Marlins | 44c | 360$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins | 42c | 359.93$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Guardians | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 56c | 357$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 55c | 297.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Marlins | 45c | 277$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…cff5backed Marlins | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Marlins | 19c | 251.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Marlins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 61c | 248$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 40c | 241.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 44c | 227.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Guardians | 56c | 225.77$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Guardians | 55c | 225.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marlins | 6c | 221$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Marlins | 46c | 217.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 45c | 215$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.