TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3770…88a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.57
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$118.8
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.78
Marlins vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$485.29
Pirates vs. Red Soxbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+154.7%+$385.13
Brewers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.27
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$101.59
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$192.36
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.61
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Diamondbacks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+109.6%+$148.84
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.02
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$89.14
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.78
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
Rays vs. Marinersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$213.43
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.2
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.85
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26%+$177.32
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$153
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$212.95
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+46%+$157.5
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.69
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$162
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$139.4
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$144
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$108.5
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.3
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.2
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$54.4
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$43.2
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.4
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.54
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.23
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$143.5
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.16
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$244.99
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+93.4%+$46.7
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$66.97
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$48.81
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$81.25
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$72.06
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$166.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.