MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d94eba34e06297a38fb02e69f2d952cb5df7021b59d2c204d495d0483159aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Rays, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,069,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,072,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,069,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Rays | 37c | 927,645$346,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346,148.07 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 63c | 623,348$390,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232,369.79 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 63c | 104,055$65,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,658.74 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 63c | 74,060$46,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,698.26 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners | 62c | 53,200$32,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,216 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 63c | 45,000$28,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mariners | 69c | 38,904$26,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,219.89 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mariners | 63c | 28,905$18,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,830 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rays | 38c | 23,553$8,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,949.41 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 62c | 9,800$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rays | 38c | 9,289$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.14 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Rays | 36c | 8,345$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.39 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 62c | 7,776$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.76 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 63c | 5,900$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 26c | 5,656$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.64 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 63c | 4,961$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 28c | 4,320$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 63c | 4,179$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.7 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mariners | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 21c | 3,360$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners | 62c | 3,240$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.88 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rays | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mariners | 74c | 2,561$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.01 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 62c | 2,318$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.91 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mariners | 62c | 2,251$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.37 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rays | 22c | 2,038$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.64 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rays | 27c | 1,951$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.48 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…411cbacked Rays | 24c | 1,906$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Rays | 37c | 1,602$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.74 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 61c | 1,587$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.87 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mariners | 62c | 1,500$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Rays | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 38c | 1,250$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.76 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 62c | 1,105$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Mariners | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rays | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 36c | 930$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rays | 36c | 921$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.56 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays | 3c | 817.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mariners | 61c | 797.6$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Mariners | 63c | 780$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 35c | 710.97$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.84 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 38c | 668.42$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mariners | 63c | 646$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Rays | 38c | 629.52$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rays | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Rays | 31c | 596$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 74c | 567.56$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 38c | 526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 61c | 506$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.84 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mariners | 63c | 481.7$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rays | 25c | 433.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rays | 33c | 425$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rays | 39c | 411$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 37c | 410$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 36c | 387.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Rays | 32c | 330$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rays | 22c | 329.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 8c | 325$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Mariners | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Rays | 31c | 321.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Rays | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Rays | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 36c | 299.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 75c | 278.59$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 62c | 264$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Rays | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Rays | 27c | 262.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners | 76c | 261.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Mariners | 64c | 236.73$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rays | 28c | 226.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 37c | 219.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 19c | 211.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rays | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rays | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners | 63c | 185.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rays | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Rays | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Rays | 28c | 156.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Mariners | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 33c | 145.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 37c | 129.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Rays | 21c | 129.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…88aebacked Mariners | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Mariners | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Rays | 30c | 124.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Mariners | 75c | 113.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Rays | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.