TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Diamondbacks, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Diamondbacks41c41,034$16,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,747.1812043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rangers61c29,320$17,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,335.8136047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rangers59c18,618$11,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,605.8848254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Rangers43c12,469$5,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,121.4618837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Diamondbacks38c11,765$4,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.5453150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks80c8,556$6,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,845.021,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers59c8,148$4,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.221,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rangers25c7,187$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,355.954345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Diamondbacks40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00034245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9855053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers20c2,925$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.996,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Rangers60c2,805$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.951838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Rangers19c2,707$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.7929240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rangers13c2,607$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.551,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Rangers61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9757758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76043949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e64…5686backed Diamondbacks41c1,980$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a08…2155backed Rangers59c1,884$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Diamondbacks37c1,863$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.493636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0409…b9a6backed Rangers59c1,720$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ee…3b13backed Diamondbacks41c1,624$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Rangers60c1,312$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.824253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers61c1,257$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Diamondbacks40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Diamondbacks39c1,228$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.985850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x372f…3b19backed Rangers60c1,167$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d67…0021backed Diamondbacks40c1,125$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04c9…abeabacked Diamondbacks40c1,125$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Diamondbacks39c1,100$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.131,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbabc…1606backed Rangers60c1,083$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd319…b3f9backed Diamondbacks40c1,078$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks39c1,060$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.450843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Diamondbacks38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Diamondbacks39c989.98$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0924547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x531f…8b66backed Rangers60c987$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks46c984.71$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.3238444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c4…f5f2backed Rangers60c963$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0f…949abacked Diamondbacks40c872$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Rangers60c860.87$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.3538455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Diamondbacks73c859.14$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.278042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks38c856$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.321,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Diamondbacks73c806.59$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.8131248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers39c799.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.9995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers70c729.3$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.982,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Rangers61c718.26$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.125667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers60c707.9$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.162,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers61c656.03$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0388549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Rangers12c653.31$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.8851334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers60c648.24$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.338047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks39c648$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7244443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers47c615.71$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.474,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Rangers77c576.23$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.618944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Diamondbacks35c572.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Diamondbacks41c551.41$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22516654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Rangers11c548.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.6332754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Rangers13c546.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.734126.8%11 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40f0…f925backed Diamondbacks41c500.21$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Diamondbacks53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Diamondbacks41c495$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9516552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Rangers61c494.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4114453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks41c487$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.671,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers54c466.09$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.249,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Rangers68c439.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1618155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers13c438.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers8c432$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.4434164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Diamondbacks41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.817946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad48…0b10backed Diamondbacks41c393.9$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x232a…3965backed Rangers60c393.9$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1239…975dbacked Rangers50c384.18$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks39c378.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.811,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Rangers59c376.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9928258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks39c375.9$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.651347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks52c350.9$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.192,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rangers61c347.77$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6354048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rangers37c327.39$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9441747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Diamondbacks31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9326650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Diamondbacks40c299.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11931244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks40c299.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Rangers41c291.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.49248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3770…88a6backed Rangers48c284.61$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.843740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rangers61c260$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Rangers60c257.93$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9316659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rangers60c244.77$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9143247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers61c244.7$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.431,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5911…a5a8backed Diamondbacks41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks40c237.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.921,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Rangers60c234$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.624350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers59c234$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks40c234$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.62,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers59c230$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.31,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Rangers18c214.95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.639151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Diamondbacks39c205.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3427751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Rangers18c200.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7110459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.