MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64e5c4a981829672c89460959404e89a208aa2dcf04a86de075e69d80b383070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $956,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,128,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 698 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Reds | 55c | 439,362$243,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243,120.05 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Phillies | 45c | 126,968$57,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,832.65 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 44c | 116,355$51,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,093.88 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 45c | 60,388$27,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,014.52 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 45c | 38,431$17,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,073.37 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 55c | 34,955$19,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,298.15 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 44c | 33,750$14,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 55c | 23,777$13,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,077.22 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Phillies | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 46c | 19,695$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,656.91 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 44c | 18,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 44c | 17,000$7,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,477.24 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 32c | 16,150$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,926.76 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Reds | 54c | 13,094$7,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,070.66 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Phillies | 45c | 12,500$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.96 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 45c | 10,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.95 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 32c | 7,391$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 30c | 7,157$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.14 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 47c | 5,773$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.6 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 53c | 5,555$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.07 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 30c | 5,511$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 71c | 5,099$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.29 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…d77ebacked Phillies | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…bfcfbacked Reds | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Reds | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…2056backed Phillies | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Phillies | 45c | 4,360$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Reds | 54c | 3,729$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Reds | 53c | 3,509$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.77 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Phillies | 45c | 3,391$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Reds | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 48c | 3,273$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.33 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 29c | 3,215$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Phillies | 46c | 2,825$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.3 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Phillies | 40c | 2,667$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.5 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 30c | 2,569$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.69 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 44c | 2,160$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Phillies | 46c | 2,119$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.67 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…40d9backed Reds | 53c | 1,901$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Reds | 54c | 1,884$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.2 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…f52cbacked Phillies | 47c | 1,787$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 43c | 1,741$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Phillies | 46c | 1,727$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.74 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…58b6backed Phillies | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…4c6bbacked Reds | 53c | 1,589$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Phillies | 46c | 1,552$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.34 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…836bbacked Reds | 54c | 1,289$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 47c | 1,289$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.17 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…feedbacked Phillies | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…4074backed Phillies | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Reds | 54c | 1,176$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.24 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…df8fbacked Reds | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Phillies | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Phillies | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 57c | 1,083$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.45 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Phillies | 46c | 1,078$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.25 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Reds | 56c | 1,067$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 47c | 1,047$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.87 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 64c | 1,047$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.13 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff4…5a2dbacked Reds | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…450ebacked Phillies | 47c | 1,028$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…8963backed Phillies | 47c | 1,022$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…52bcbacked Reds | 53c | 1,010$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Phillies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Reds | 53c | 999.96$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Phillies | 47c | 984.25$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.21 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Phillies | 45c | 964.67$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.57 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phillies | 47c | 946$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.06 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Reds | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Reds | 54c | 924.97$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.49 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Reds | 53c | 863.1$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.93 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Reds | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…975dbacked Phillies | 42c | 735.2$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 63c | 723.5$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.53 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 2c | 692.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 45c | 663.37$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.54 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Reds | 52c | 662.75$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.64 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…3965backed Reds | 54c | 655.56$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad48…0b10backed Phillies | 47c | 655.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 39c | 646.25$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.25 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Phillies | 46c | 615.59$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.42 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Reds | 53c | 601.11$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Phillies | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Phillies | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 4c | 594$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…6155backed Reds | 54c | 574.07$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 47c | 573.61$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.01 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds | 64c | 564.76$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.85 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Phillies | 30c | 556.75$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.29 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…c720backed Reds | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Phillies | 47c | 555.32$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.32 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 29c | 509.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 45c | 505$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.