MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de0000afcbefda08ae1e52db9b640ce1e62f07c9cac730f6b1dba0ce8ed6503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $692,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $718,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers | 46c | 408,139$185,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,402.36 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 54c | 151,026$81,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,554.04 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 65,958$35,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,676.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 48c | 53,347$25,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,581.54 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 55c | 45,000$24,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,749.98 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Blue Jays | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 64c | 29,397$18,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,772.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Blue Jays | 52c | 28,768$14,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,844.78 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 25,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,600 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 45c | 18,849$8,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,366.89 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 75c | 17,538$13,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,143.75 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Blue Jays | 56c | 15,470$8,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,615.06 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 10,721$5,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 55c | 10,080$5,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,544 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Blue Jays | 56c | 9,158$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.1 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 8,246$4,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.61 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Brewers | 47c | 8,159$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.82 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 48c | 7,759$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 7,037$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 6,838$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.07 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 54c | 6,548$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 6,301$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays | 55c | 5,585$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.89 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 48c | 4,137$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.69 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Brewers | 43c | 4,024$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.62 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Blue Jays | 56c | 3,790$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.39 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Blue Jays | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 64c | 2,278$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.46 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Blue Jays | 55c | 2,199$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 2,146$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.42 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 1,981$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.59 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,802$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.87 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Brewers | 41c | 1,770$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.7 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,595$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers | 44c | 1,579$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.39 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…a6e9backed Blue Jays | 4c | 1,550$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Brewers | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Brewers | 44c | 1,481$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.12 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Blue Jays | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,270$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.24 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Brewers | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Brewers | 45c | 1,189$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Brewers | 44c | 1,126$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 65c | 1,118$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 6c | 1,118$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Brewers | 45c | 1,022$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Brewers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Brewers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blue Jays | 75c | 983$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.25 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 872.42$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.53 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Blue Jays | 61c | 870$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.67 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 41c | 807.18$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.27 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Brewers | 50c | 767.46$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Blue Jays | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Brewers | 45c | 706.67$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.67 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 45c | 666$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Blue Jays | 55c | 664.49$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 560$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.87 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Brewers | 46c | 555.72$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Brewers | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 55c | 526.66$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.66 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Brewers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Brewers | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 486.44$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.38 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Blue Jays | 56c | 478$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.19 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 56c | 472$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.3 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 43c | 461.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.14 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Blue Jays | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers | 60c | 454.19$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Brewers | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Brewers | 45c | 444.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 46c | 444.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Brewers | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 42c | 417.55$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Blue Jays | 9c | 404$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Brewers | 46c | 371.02$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers | 45c | 349.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.99 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 44c | 349.97$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Brewers | 44c | 341.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.87 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 49c | 338.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Brewers | 31c | 325.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.48 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 282.32$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brewers | 53c | 269.61$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 43c | 259.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 43c | 256.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 40c | 250.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Brewers | 44c | 227$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Brewers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Brewers vs. Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.