NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc8f1378381ce353dfb40c817ef6312836e7b9f03be85f0e25a878eff084933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hornets | 52c | 86,399$44,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,671.75 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks | 48c | 58,829$28,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,324.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Hawks | 50c | 14,584$7,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,292 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 51c | 13,123$6,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,376.68 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Hornets | 52c | 12,483$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,978.25 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks | 48c | 11,000$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Hornets | 52c | 10,000$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Hornets | 51c | 9,855$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,855.49 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Hornets | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 48c | 9,659$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hawks | 49c | 9,373$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.68 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…844ebacked Hawks | 49c | 8,271$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Hawks | 48c | 6,299$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,023.29 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 48c | 5,819$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Hornets | 51c | 4,616$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…3b58backed Hawks | 49c | 4,616$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets | 52c | 4,553$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.44 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hornets | 51c | 4,112$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.01 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hawks | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Hawks | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 48c | 3,403$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 49c | 3,370$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.3 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hawks | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hawks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Hawks | 48c | 2,676$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.5 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Hawks | 50c | 2,408$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 48c | 2,404$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks | 48c | 2,319$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.08 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hornets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Hornets | 52c | 1,948$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.14 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 49c | 1,931$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.19 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,900$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Hornets | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.01 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 48c | 1,827$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Hawks | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,275$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.27 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…5b66backed Hornets | 7c | 1,200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +421.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 9c | 1,199$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawks | 2c | 1,191$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.07 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks | 48c | 960.89$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 49c | 925.64$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…8f73backed Hornets | 8c | 786.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked Hornets | 24c | 700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…6b57backed Hornets | 24c | 700$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 25cpaid | +202.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 51c | 677$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.73 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 5c | 642.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Hornets | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…55f3backed Hornets | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Hornets | 52c | 423.83$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Hawks | 48c | 417.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Hawks | 48c | 416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks | 49c | 404.13$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.08 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Hornets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Hornets | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Hornets | 53c | 377.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Hawks | 50c | 376$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5f…e454backed Hawks | 51c | 354$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…83f4backed Hornets | 8c | 350$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 6cpaid | +599%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Hornets | 51c | 330.21$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hawks | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Hornets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Hawks | 7c | 263$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 48c | 244.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Hornets | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hawks | 48c | 210.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Hawks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hornets | 57c | 203.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…9d0cbacked Hornets | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Hornets | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Hawks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hornets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Hornets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Hawks | 50c | 179.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…951ebacked Hawks | 22c | 148.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Hawks | 54c | 143.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hawks | 48c | 143.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Hornets | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Hawks | 45c | 131.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Hawks | 48c | 130.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Hawks | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Hawks | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e51…92bbbacked Hornets | 51c | 119$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Hornets | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Hawks | 51c | 114.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Hornets | 73c | 106.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Hawks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Hornets | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Hornets | 52c | 96.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hornets | 52c | 89.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…6f00backed Hornets | 53c | 89.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Hornets | 52c | 86.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Hawks | 49c | 83.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Hawks | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawks | 49c | 78.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 48c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Hawks | 49c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Hawks | 48c | 69.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)this page
- Hornets vs. HawksHornets won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.