NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46ad8e73a1c4c3b58bf9fabf22dbfe11a137c42623009095487e4ec48bffd206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 54c | 68,860$37,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,452.67 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 37,037$17,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,265.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 22,030$11,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,665.33 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…20e9backed Under | 51c | 11,500$5,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,865 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…2353backed Over | 49c | 11,500$5,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,865 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 11,078$5,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,203.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 9,895$4,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,551.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Under | 44c | 7,840$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.12 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 7,121$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…f0b9backed Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 3,962$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.22 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 3,554$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.8 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 3,165$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…e873backed Over | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…38b9backed Over | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 46c | 2,224$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 1,970$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.35 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 1,798$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 1,303$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 1,000$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.33 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 932.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 892.13$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.46 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…2c2dbacked Over | 49c | 882.34$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 793.63$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 505.05$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 452.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Under | 44c | 418.3$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 403.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 357.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 331$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Over | 58c | 326.27$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 60c | 256.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 31c | 242.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 44c | 204$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…c451backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Over | 50c | 174.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Over | 58c | 159.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 74c | 134.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 45c | 105.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 46c | 95.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 46c | 84.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 53c | 78.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 22c | 78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 75.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 43c | 73.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Under | 43c | 69.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Over | 50c | 67.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 67.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 72c | 65.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 56c | 57.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…1e98backed Under | 44c | 53.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…b908backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 51.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…b82abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329e…2eafbacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -11.5wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 43.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 70c | 41.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 37.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 47c | 33.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Under | 45c | 29.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 61c | 29.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 47c | 27.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…49b1backed Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 46c | 25.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5this page
- Hornets vs. HawksHornets won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-1.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.