NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf546bda320511f0f2d21b0e6c2bf0c7a705ba12aadd5acd2681a25a28db7ba6

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hornetsof Hornets, Hawks
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $68,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,683 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Hawks	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,600	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets	47c	20,000$9,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,599.99	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks	53c	14,622$7,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,749.43	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets	47c	14,284$6,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,637.62	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Hawks	53c	9,993$5,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,288.43	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hornets	47c	6,666$3,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,532.97	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks	53c	6,069$3,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,216.57	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed Hawks	55c	3,658$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hornets	46c	3,378$1,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,824.26	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5226…b227backed Hornets	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.33	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets	46c	1,589$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.24	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hornets	49c	1,022$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.01	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets	46c	923.84$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.36	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets	47c	892.71$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.97	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hornets	46c	840$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.6	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets	46c	715$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.1	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Hawks	54c	685.19$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets	48c	646.7$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.06	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets	47c	610.84$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.45	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Hornets	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	134	64.2%86 W · 48 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Hawks	54c	450$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1779…eef2backed Hornets	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	109	36.7%40 W · 69 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets	46c	377.24$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.71	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hawks	55c	363.9$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Hornets	48c	320$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.4	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Hawks	54c	296.3$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Hawks	54c	296.3$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets	47c	287$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.11	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Hawks	54c	251.85$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Hornets	48c	234$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.68	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Hornets	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Hornets	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	124	37.9%47 W · 77 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Hornets	48c	198.61$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.28	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hawks	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Hawks	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Hawks	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hornets	46c	186.96$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.96	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Hawks	54c	181.48$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0486…fbc2backed Hornets	48c	179.54$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.36	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Hawks	50c	151$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.82	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Hawks	54c	148.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Hawks	53c	132.08$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets	50c	123.77$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.5	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Hornets	48c	109.05$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.71	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Hornets	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Hornets	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	253	47%119 W · 134 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Hornets	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	160	30.6%49 W · 111 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Hornets	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Hornets	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Hornets	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	587	54.7%321 W · 266 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Hornets	47c	97.57$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.71	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets	47c	85.25$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.2	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Hornets	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets	49c	81.26$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.61	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Hawks	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Hornets	47c	69.11$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.63	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Hawks	54c	68$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Hornets	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	173	31.8%55 W · 118 L	-16.5wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hawks	54c	62.96$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Hawks	51c	61.81$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.43	408	49%200 W · 208 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Hornets	47c	61.7$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.7	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Hawks	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	493	58.6%289 W · 204 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Hawks	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193e…76ebbacked Hornets	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Hornets	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hawks	45c	50.91$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Hornets	48c	50.73$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.38	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hornets	51c	50.7$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.66	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe886…ba86backed Hornets	50c	50.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.13	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Hawks	55c	49$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.76	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Hornets	48c	48$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…9971backed Hawks	53c	46.93$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	281	56.2%158 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Hornets	48c	46.54$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Hawks	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	157	58%91 W · 66 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Hornets	47c	44.7$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.58	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hornets	46c	44.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.06	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Hornets	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fe0…027abacked Hornets	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Hawks	53c	40.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	296	45.6%135 W · 161 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Hornets	48c	39.02$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.29	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf1…0b3dbacked Hawks	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Hawks	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Hawks	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	273	59%161 W · 112 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hornets	49c	36.73$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.73	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Hornets	47c	35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.55	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Hornets	48c	31.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.59	448	44.2%198 W · 250 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Hornets	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	292	47.9%140 W · 152 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked Hornets	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	265	48.7%129 W · 136 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Hornets	47c	29.52$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.65	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets	47c	28.63$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.18	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6625…9da5backed Hawks	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Hornets	48c	26.79$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.93	141	54.6%77 W · 64 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Hawks	54c	25.93$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Hawks	55c	25.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b37…d7e9backed Hawks	55c	25.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	119	38.7%46 W · 73 L	-10.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0727…40a4backed Hornets	48c	24.71$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd517…89afbacked Hawks	53c	24.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…ce56backed Hornets	48c	23.4$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.17	120	44.2%53 W · 67 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hawks	50c	20.62$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Hawks	53c	20.06$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hornets (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event