TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda55…c451

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.24
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$58.2
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$53
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$40
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.9
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+316.7%+$34.83
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$15.42
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.31
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Predatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$114.49
Stars vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$57.23
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.92
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.29
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$171.32
Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$40
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.