NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4808adbbe3a7b4344e7c1c89141289d2e207223a3e90a24f2ce9fd008f3c4e49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Utah | 52c | 121,143$62,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,782.8 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Stars | 48c | 33,278$15,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,304.67 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Stars | 48c | 18,850$9,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,802 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Utah | 30c | 18,533$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,619.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Stars | 48c | 14,613$7,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,598.76 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 49c | 10,207$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.45 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.97 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 51c | 9,713$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.75 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Utah | 52c | 9,641$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.81 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Stars | 48c | 9,292$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.1 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 47c | 7,807$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,102.02 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Stars | 48c | 6,473$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.84 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Utah | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 11c | 4,597$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.82 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 75c | 4,208$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.78 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Stars | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Utah | 50c | 3,179$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.38 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Stars | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 79c | 2,907$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.26 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Utah | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…58bbbacked Utah | 53c | 2,400$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 48c | 2,365$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.75 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 71c | 2,310$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.05 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 80c | 2,146$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.43 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Utah | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Stars | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Stars | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 52c | 1,916$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.68 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…2f1fbacked Stars | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars | 48c | 1,894$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.71 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…bf6bbacked Stars | 50c | 1,888$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 47c | 1,808$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.5 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Stars | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cc…3b8cbacked Utah | 51c | 1,672$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Utah | 50c | 1,562$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.95 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Utah | 52c | 1,552$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.04 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Stars | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah | 51c | 1,100$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.75 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Utah | 53c | 1,070$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.1 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah | 50c | 1,039$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.43 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Utah | 9c | 1,018$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Utah | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Utah | 20c | 925.26$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Stars | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah | 17c | 893.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.16 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Utah | 34c | 870.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stars | 49c | 852.72$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.71 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 49c | 851.17$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.09 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Utah | 51c | 820.55$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.48 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 22c | 742.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…2728backed Utah | 24c | 687.26$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Stars | 49c | 666.65$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Stars | 65c | 621.43$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Stars | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd79…989ebacked Stars | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Stars | 49c | 553.5$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Utah | 18c | 542.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Utah | 52c | 520.83$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Stars | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…187fbacked Stars | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Utah | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Utah | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Utah | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stars | 63c | 489.81$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stars | 59c | 483.72$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.33 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…da74backed Utah | 53c | 480$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…e8afbacked Utah | 53c | 460$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…005bbacked Utah | 53c | 445$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…a1b6backed Stars | 48c | 441$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…b8a9backed Stars | 48c | 440$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…a020backed Utah | 53c | 430$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab4…098fbacked Stars | 48c | 428$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Stars | 48c | 426.34$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…ffbebacked Stars | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Utah | 22c | 414.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…ae9ebacked Utah | 53c | 410$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 49c | 404.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…1487backed Stars | 49c | 401.57$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…61e3backed Stars | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Stars | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Utah | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Stars | 49c | 396$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Utah | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…65c6backed Utah | 51c | 391.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…679ebacked Stars | 49c | 389.26$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Stars | 56c | 385$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa87…e602backed Utah | 51c | 384.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…3139backed Stars | 49c | 380.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Stars | 74c | 377$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…e59bbacked Utah | 51c | 374.91$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 51cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Utah | 14c | 354$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…308cbacked Utah | 51c | 348.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…8eafbacked Stars | 49c | 334.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Utah | 9c | 329.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Utahthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.