TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Utah: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$688,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$688,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $688,413 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under48c604,074$289,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314,808.2420354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over52c347,115$180,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180,499.5739047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over52c150,000$78,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,00038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over53c39,872$21,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,166.943243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over53c29,661$15,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,720.5756152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under46c18,984$8,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,251.53056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c16,250$7,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,612.541,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over52c12,222$6,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,355.4413363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Over53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,180333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over54c4,630$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over55c3,846$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.212,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c2,700$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.3991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c2,118$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.512,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c2,024$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.222,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over52c1,889$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.471,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over53c1,635$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.574057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under46c1,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over53c1,271$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.6321048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over53c1,060$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.9993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over54c888.88$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over54c777.78$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4208245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c577$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Over54c509.26$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2757149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over54c436.75$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2614753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3315349%75 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Over54c233.33$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over53c207.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0316254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Under44c193.29$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.243961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over54c169.8$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over71c165.32$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.383,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.127453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.56167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over70c140$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9819141.9%80 W · 111 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over59c126.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.092,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.47347.9%35 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Over54c118.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under30c113$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.121856.4%123 W · 95 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e1…4cc7backed Over54c92.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.842646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under48c77.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4426243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.45052%26 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under45c64.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4922655.3%125 W · 101 L+17.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under23c64.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1992…be7abacked Over77c64.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81566.7%10 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7622…542bbacked Over77c64.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick74cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d15…2d65backed Over77c60.02$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.221872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.117458%101 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Over53c51.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.23467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255054%27 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under47c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.385060%30 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c3…3bc7backed Over54c45.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Over53c44.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.575345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Over53c44.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.573551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x583b…9249backed Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under46c39.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2910745.8%49 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Over55c38.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209245.7%42 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3b…3b15backed Over54c36.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b5…60d5backed Under30c36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.251,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…8137backed Over53c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.022347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Over53c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.021855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Over53c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.491758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under48c31.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.357358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over64c30.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2311153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.259852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over53c29.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7119356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over52c28.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9445151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over54c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2813658.1%79 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Over53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.782060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Over54c25.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.583354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.963158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.192240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over54c22.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.396758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.664259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ea…15b7backed Over54c21.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe570…b4fabacked Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1169653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Over53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.826657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.