WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c6a7997ecde03eb7cbd83416885f301655ce541d30a826afb90be1226127d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Minnesota Lynx, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf08…907ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 4,812$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 1,204$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.21 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 925.41$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.98 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 907.82$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.07 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 683$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.16 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 473.68$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 436.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.36 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 288.21$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 282$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.82 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 206.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Los Angeles Sparks | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Minnesota Lynx | 42c | 104.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…beeebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Minnesota Lynx | 68c | 72.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 65.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 47.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 43.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 36.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Sparks | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 26.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 24.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 22.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…c451backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Los Angeles Sparks | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota LynxLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 188.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 189.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.