WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2151e1bdec1c89abc35b3dedbd830a42d1f6d399360ff4bf69859a48d1888713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 21,553$10,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,708.49 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 16,495$8,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,127.9 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 50c | 4,219$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.3 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 47c | 4,211$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 2,733$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.93 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,638$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.25 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 2,574$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.26 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 2,000$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.83 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…7283backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 64c | 1,406$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 36c | 1,093$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.63 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Over | 48c | 1,078$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 66c | 913.45$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.45 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Over | 34c | 858$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 637.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 61c | 528$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Under | 60c | 421.74$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 363.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 343$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 341$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.85 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 318.11$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 303.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 49c | 297.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 53c | 295$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 59c | 228.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 42c | 193$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 192.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 164.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 159$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 54c | 157.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 134.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 49c | 132.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 55c | 121.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 13c | 108.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 34c | 99.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 51c | 96.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 69c | 95.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 95.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 36c | 94.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 92.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 86.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 48c | 63.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 35c | 57.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 42c | 57.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 49c | 49.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 57c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 37c | 42.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 55c | 41.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 45c | 41.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Under | 65c | 22.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 20.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 187.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota LynxLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 188.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 189.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.