NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b917195d626167e3a6924c0e017c7bac084504bc1950cc63f6fe1841f6ebbf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Sharks, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,114,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,252,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,114,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Sharks | 52c | 398,822$206,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,266.92 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Flames | 48c | 317,860$153,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,597.05 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 49c | 77,865$38,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,435.17 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Flames | 52c | 72,264$37,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,031.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.92 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 48c | 28,161$13,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,643.82 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flames | 50c | 23,044$11,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,611.6 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 52c | 19,210$9,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,268.91 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Flames | 50c | 18,122$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,122.45 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 50c | 16,017$8,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,068.74 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sharks | 50c | 14,610$7,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,338.18 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sharks | 51c | 13,441$6,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,822.35 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sharks | 53c | 13,355$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,014.5 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 51c | 13,313$6,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759.96 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 50c | 13,114$6,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.79 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Flames | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.96 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Flames | 36c | 9,854$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,304.8 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sharks | 52c | 9,617$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Flames | 57c | 9,107$5,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.36 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 50c | 8,993$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Sharks | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 47c | 7,809$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.16 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 47c | 7,432$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.49 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Flames | 41c | 7,092$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.4 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Flames | 65c | 6,862$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.99 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 50c | 6,001$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sharks | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Sharks | 50c | 5,941$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Sharks | 50c | 5,593$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.67 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Sharks | 52c | 5,400$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Flames | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Sharks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Flames | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.97 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Flames | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.97 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sharks | 50c | 4,990$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Flames | 48c | 4,882$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Flames | 49c | 4,744$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.32 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…aa21backed Sharks | 50c | 4,690$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 63c | 4,585$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 48c | 4,470$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.3 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Sharks | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks | 32c | 4,056$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.9 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 51c | 4,013$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.63 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Flames | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Sharks | 67c | 4,000$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks | 18c | 3,835$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.93 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Flames | 56c | 3,813$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 50c | 3,594$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.08 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sharks | 41c | 3,570$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.19 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 56c | 3,469$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.17 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sharks | 51c | 3,449$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.63 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 34c | 3,212$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flames | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.08 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Sharks | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Flames | 48c | 2,898$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.89 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Flames | 48c | 2,802$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sharks | 50c | 2,794$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Sharks | 50c | 2,794$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.81 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Flames | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…6f75backed Sharks | 39c | 2,446$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Flames | 50c | 2,402$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.33 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…b23ebacked Sharks | 49c | 2,364$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sharks | 50c | 2,305$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.41 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Sharks | 51c | 2,269$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames | 50c | 2,211$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.18 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…abdebacked Sharks | 51c | 2,207$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf372…f4c2backed Flames | 49c | 2,199$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sharks | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2a5dbacked Sharks | 52c | 2,151$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…24e6backed Flames | 51c | 2,089$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Flames | 50c | 2,050$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Flames | 79c | 2,009$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.25 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked Sharks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sharks | 62c | 1,990$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.74 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Flames | 48c | 1,950$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.25 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…ba6cbacked Flames | 51c | 1,922$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc9…a083backed Flames | 49c | 1,876$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…b9e4backed Sharks | 51c | 1,869$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Sharks | 51c | 1,849$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.66 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Sharks | 52c | 1,803$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.71 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…4025backed Sharks | 51c | 1,792$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flames | 48c | 1,771$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.83 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Flames | 51c | 1,737$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.73 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…123abacked Flames | 50c | 1,663$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…ba9cbacked Sharks | 50c | 1,646$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Sharks | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Sharks | 19c | 1,538$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Sharks | 53c | 1,502$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Flames | 65c | 1,495$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.16 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Sharks | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flames | 49c | 1,248$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.96 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Flames | 47c | 1,244$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.37 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Flames | 49c | 1,179$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.87 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flames | 48c | 1,155$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.55 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Flames | 48c | 1,130$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.85 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flames | 49c | 1,112$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.12 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Sharks | 51c | 1,098$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sharks | 50c | 1,092$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.07 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Flamesthis page
- Sharks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Sharks won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.