NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22747de7dd8e9ff790f34ab3691066e30d52641a9384244b9c559df1d695e3fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 57c | 26,319$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,318.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 43c | 16,542$7,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,113.19 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 44c | 9,357$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Under | 56c | 9,119$5,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 8,160$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.2 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 43c | 7,973$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.41 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 55c | 2,001$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.87 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Under | 44c | 1,427$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 20c | 1,252$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.13 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 1,138$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.04 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 992.35$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.8 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 862.87$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 814$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 668.18$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Under | 61c | 619.69$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 58c | 593.39$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…cd09backed Over | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 282.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 45c | 242.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 48c | 214.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 208.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Under | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 53c | 168.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 53c | 165.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…50d9backed Over | 40c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 63c | 137.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 119.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 43c | 117.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Over | 39c | 111.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 52c | 96.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 96.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 46c | 87.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 75.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 68.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 47c | 62.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 57c | 57.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 57c | 56.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 38c | 55.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 52.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 43c | 51.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…13b3backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…ccdbbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…7e14backed Over | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 76cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Over | 43c | 25.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Over | 43c | 25.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Under | 57c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. FlamesFlames won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Sharks won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.