TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,760,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,838,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,760,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Rockets53c1,162,488$616,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546,487.8710049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets47c474,104$222,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,828.6826253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…cab2backed Nuggets48c437,923$210,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210,271.94520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Nuggets47c250,000$117,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117,50026753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets50c149,686$74,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,833.8951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Rockets52c140,000$72,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,199.954456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets40c108,573$43,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,112.321,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Rockets49c99,721$48,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,897.7410459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets51c86,062$43,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,170.4687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets62c68,711$42,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,017.855,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets48c67,504$32,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,704.8296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets46c57,264$26,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,250.312,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets52c56,553$29,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,381.982,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Nuggets50c51,453$25,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,726.521450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Rockets51c51,453$26,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,211.9717861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets7c48,565$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.961,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab5…6b51backed Nuggets50c45,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,500650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Rockets52c40,000$20,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets34c33,859$11,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,526.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets35c33,524$11,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,633.621,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Nuggets30c31,000$9,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1903036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae24…07c2backed Nuggets32c23,507$7,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,463.252524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Rockets70c22,011$15,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,662.4118453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Rockets46c21,453$9,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,486.1113455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets47c20,184$9,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,486.3659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Rockets50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Rockets52c19,637$10,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,505.6821944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets35c19,337$6,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,679.421,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15bd…3e07backed Rockets71c19,034$13,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,562.712665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets49c19,034$9,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,337.592,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets53c18,868$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nuggets24c18,238$4,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,293.151,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Nuggets14c17,949$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.8212843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddc0…a8a0backed Nuggets4c17,274$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6221010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-35.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Nuggets30c16,752$5,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,053.2217441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets1c16,308$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Rockets51c16,088$8,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,880.865259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Rockets52c16,054$8,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,705.992759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Nuggets47c16,013$7,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,491.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Nuggets40c15,400$6,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,117.9921923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Rockets79c15,037$11,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.9937944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Nuggets52c14,912$7,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7013636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets66c14,277$9,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,808.093,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Rockets50c13,857$6,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,928.550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets47c13,617$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.991,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Nuggets48c13,440$6,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,513.57149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets61c13,439$8,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,219.053,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets48c13,436$6,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,003.314,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Rockets69c13,194$9,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.154261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets31c12,953$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.152,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Rockets52c12,501$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000.326253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nuggets0c12,439$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.278820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Nuggets48c11,600$5,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,516.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets37c11,012$4,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,115.1681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockets48c10,780$5,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,605.491,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockets47c10,052$4,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,331.41,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Nuggets40c10,047$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8d…694fbacked Rockets50c10,002$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Nuggets50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c6…0e3abacked Rockets50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Rockets47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.931,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets44c10,000$4,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,425.881,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Rockets68c9,674$6,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,095.6522457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Rockets52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.387745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets49c9,116$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,623.681,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rockets52c9,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,32066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets52c8,500$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Rockets59c8,090$4,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.6859646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Nuggets16c7,879$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.131735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Rockets77c7,849$6,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Nuggets53c7,683$4,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,066.9413464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Rockets52c7,594$3,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,645.3441954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6244…6fefbacked Nuggets49c7,500$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.98812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-83.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Rockets51c7,072$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,465.517745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nuggets47c7,025$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.7172450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1297…d819backed Rockets50c6,980$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,490425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rockets49c6,886$3,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,516.2427747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1c…9b59backed Nuggets48c6,162$2,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+131.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Nuggets53c6,145$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.5438649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Nuggets4c6,036$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.675933.9%20 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.9874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rockets48c5,794$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.8817658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Nuggets52c5,777$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.0416251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Nuggets50c5,555$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.536741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets49c5,432$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets15c5,360$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Rockets62c5,133$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.47038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b40…d85ebacked Nuggets30c5,127$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.765832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Nuggets50c5,100$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.9947043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Nuggets51c5,098$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,59355346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Rockets50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5005352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Rockets53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Rockets51c4,968$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.3247751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Nuggets46c4,818$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Nuggets50c4,720$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36019351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets57c4,700$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rockets50c4,622$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.522,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Rockets53c4,600$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16215855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fac…0c54backed Nuggets4c4,418$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.04166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.