NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd97c6153b060148538a8cb02fefca7fce4caab742797f6cfc1e4d206dd784477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Nuggets, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Nuggets | 47c | 68,010$31,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,964.68 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 53c | 20,401$10,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,588.56 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd39…1b8abacked Rockets | 53c | 13,208$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 52c | 9,814$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 47c | 9,570$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.36 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…02fdbacked Rockets | 53c | 9,340$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockets | 55c | 8,288$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.66 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nuggets | 49c | 6,758$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 53c | 5,621$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 50c | 3,817$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 3,193$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.84 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Rockets | 53c | 2,492$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 53c | 2,432$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.04 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,123$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.86 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.99 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 50c | 1,543$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,485$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.91 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 55c | 1,329$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rockets | 51c | 1,279$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.71 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Rockets | 52c | 1,256$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.05 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 51c | 1,182$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.21 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,051$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.94 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Rockets | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Rockets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…3e07backed Rockets | 77c | 848$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Nuggets | 53c | 808.55$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…edeabacked Rockets | 54c | 787$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…1721backed Nuggets | 47c | 787$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Nuggets | 21c | 761$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Rockets | 55c | 620.29$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.13 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 53c | 584$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Rockets | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Rockets | 53c | 398$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.06 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nuggets | 46c | 330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 53c | 233.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Rockets | 53c | 220.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…525abacked Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuggets | 43c | 212.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Nuggets | 48c | 210.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Rockets | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets | 48c | 146.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 144.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Rockets | 51c | 143.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Nuggets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Nuggets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Nuggets | 45c | 100.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nuggets | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Rockets | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Rockets | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Rockets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Rockets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…919dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 78.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Nuggets | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rockets | 52c | 74.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Rockets | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nuggets | 52c | 71.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Nuggets | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…dff3backed Nuggets | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Rockets | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Rockets | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Nuggets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Rockets | 55c | 43.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Nuggets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…8e6cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Nuggets | 43c | 42.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Nuggets | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Rockets | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Rockets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Rockets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Rockets | 49c | 36.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 34.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…217abacked Rockets | 51c | 32.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Rockets | 53c | 31.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Nuggets | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 47c | 27.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…57d5backed Nuggets | 47c | 21.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. NuggetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.