NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf239709db9538f739c56bef66b5247ccca07d0208e849b5ebe2c465bf828c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 39c | 15,555$6,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,066.41 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 48c | 13,739$6,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,119.75 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Under | 62c | 8,695$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.99 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 6,899$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 48c | 6,177$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 5,917$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.77 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 3,984$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.68 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 62c | 2,524$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.02 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 49c | 2,075$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.66 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Under | 65c | 2,053$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.03 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 52c | 1,864$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.72 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 52c | 1,697$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.56 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 39c | 721.52$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.21 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked Over | 5c | 494$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 33c | 484$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 51c | 480.39$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 56c | 460.27$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.86 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 424$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 3c | 414.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 50c | 397.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 52c | 355.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 351.21$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 315$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Under | 50c | 304$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 175.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 53c | 148$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 60c | 142.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 51c | 139$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…8814backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 84.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30df…e573backed Under | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…7052backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 55c | 47.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 25.5%47 W · 137 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Under | 54c | 41.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 39.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…2412backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…fd4ebacked Over | 51c | 39.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 32.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 28.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…dd67backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 50c | 24.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 60c | 18.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. NuggetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.