NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c858ddb701d9d79b936e780b80739d21bf85c981287a73ab3da154851890be

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,141 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	47c	14,976$7,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,062.9	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under	54c	4,389$2,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,018.94	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	50c	2,995$1,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,497.58	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over	50c	2,724$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360.06	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	52c	2,104$1,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,009.84	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under	52c	1,381$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	53c	1,064$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.15	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Over	50c	861.4$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.7	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over	50c	761.3$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.65	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	47c	738$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.86	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under	54c	693.09$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.82	157	56.7%89 W · 68 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	50c	600.4$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.19	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under	54c	600$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	294	58.5%172 W · 122 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x964c…0a17backed Under	54c	555.56$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.56	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Under	55c	512.41$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.41	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Over	50c	432$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-20.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over	25c	394.53$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.89	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under	53c	317.02$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under	56c	214.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.29	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Under	55c	210$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.5	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Under	53c	209.98$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.69	548	38%208 W · 340 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0d…4242backed Over	50c	206.25$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under	54c	168$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.28	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aef…dc0fbacked Under	56c	133.93$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.93	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	47c	117.02$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over	47c	111.32$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.32	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Under	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under	55c	99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.55	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over	45c	94.73$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.63	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	-10.6wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Under	55c	92.73$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.73	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under	55c	82$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	47c	77.66$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under	55c	77$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.65	71	62%44 W · 27 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+22%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	48c	73.27$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.17	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Under	55c	72.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over	47c	64.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.44	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under	54c	59$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.14	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…55f4backed Over	47c	58.66$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Over	45c	58$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Over	50c	56.86$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.43	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under	55c	53$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.85	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under	77c	50.64$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.8	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	-12.7wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c2…2f0bbacked Under	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	45c	44.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	-8.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Over	46c	39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-6.9wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under	55c	39$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.55	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+7.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6245…5f7ebacked Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	124	50%62 W · 62 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe760…aadcbacked Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	152	48.7%74 W · 78 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	273	59%161 W · 112 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Over	45c	31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Over	45c	31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Over	68c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Over	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Over	45c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7590…d6e0backed Under	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Under	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa81b…dd67backed Under	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Over	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Over	45c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Over	47c	23.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	87	60.9%53 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under	55c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Rockets won
Rockets vs. NuggetsRockets won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Under won
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Rockets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event