NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbb2879f52309ad1cedac6971bb058baaab51c3c5164905b53330a39cf31ad5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 53c | 47,211$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,210.67 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 34,956$16,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,334.55 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.83 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 7,945$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.54 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,705$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,446.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Under | 68c | 4,000$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.13 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 2,306$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c3…17a7backed Over | 53c | 1,194$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 897.96$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 7c | 749.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 50c | 644$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 2c | 623.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 47c | 448.69$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 44c | 399.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 50c | 193.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 60c | 166.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 51c | 138.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 51c | 133.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 50c | 124.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af0…1929backed Under | 50c | 124.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Over | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 81.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Under | 48c | 64.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…8bfdbacked Under | 50c | 64.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 50c | 62.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 51c | 38.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 32c | 31.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…18e9backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Under | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…39a4backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. NuggetsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.