TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$697,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$727,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $697,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 478 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf195…8057backed Blue Jackets50c270,643$134,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,818.745352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators50c170,994$85,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,497.2556152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Blue Jackets49c129,568$63,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,488.3510349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Senators74c54,969$40,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,379.531,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Senators51c41,000$20,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,0908657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Senators51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,60019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Blue Jackets25c24,014$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00012835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a80…141fbacked Senators61c21,982$13,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,478.131631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets24c21,138$5,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,065.7741850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Senators51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Senators74c16,211$12,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.2314753.7%79 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3644…6fdfbacked Senators51c15,223$7,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,450.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Senators51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,349.8932946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Blue Jackets24c14,963$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,591.232744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Senators51c13,608$6,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,667.915953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators50c12,074$6,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0371,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Senators50c11,111$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.513363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Blue Jackets0c10,491$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.732504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Blue Jackets0c10,120$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Senators51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…6de7backed Senators52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c0…1d79backed Blue Jackets49c9,903$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,830.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Senators51c9,800$5,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,78215749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Senators51c9,777$4,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,802.921755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Senators51c7,801$3,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,861.3328251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators52c7,342$3,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.521,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets50c7,000$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,49061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jackets24c6,479$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.8617057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Senators50c6,400$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20052050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets28c6,140$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.282,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Senators50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Senators51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Senators51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Blue Jackets49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Blue Jackets48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9827548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Senators73c3,701$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.613147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Senators50c3,513$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.6645955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blue Jackets48c3,202$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.9630551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Blue Jackets42c3,025$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.7633345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Senators72c2,966$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.295853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Senators78c2,574$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.0223754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fe…30d5backed Blue Jackets32c2,151$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.2940%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jackets17c2,093$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked Senators50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f4…c17fbacked Blue Jackets44c2,000$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Blue Jackets23c1,970$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.052642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Senators52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0885250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Blue Jackets49c1,912$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93741248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets49c1,880$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.21,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Blue Jackets46c1,799$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.921,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Senators54c1,741$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.531353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Senators51c1,700$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.971,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Blue Jackets28c1,544$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.1313348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jackets49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Senators50c1,386$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.142,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Senators51c1,332$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3d…726fbacked Blue Jackets48c1,321$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.261233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f86…2fa7backed Senators52c1,056$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Jackets28c1,029$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Senators50c1,026$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.1116254.9%89 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Senators51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Senators51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Blue Jackets49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Blue Jackets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Blue Jackets49c999.92$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.965764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Blue Jackets23c991.87$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1362951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Senators50c983.5$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.8445751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Blue Jackets48c980.27$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.5354047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Blue Jackets48c955.9$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.8320552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8559…8561backed Senators51c908.96$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Senators52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43240049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Senators50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x81b7…3419backed Blue Jackets48c899.95$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Senators67c841$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.531,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Blue Jackets28c840$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.214757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46f…c197backed Blue Jackets48c832.88$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blue Jackets48c816.59$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.711,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Senators51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39231848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e1…d5bcbacked Blue Jackets49c800$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3917450%37 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b99…01fdbacked Senators51c799.96$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.982552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators50c781$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blue Jackets48c778.7$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.7748549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…152cbacked Senators52c773.08$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.081866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+47%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f9b…f652backed Blue Jackets27c751.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets47c749.96$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.481,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Senators53c748.28$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.285660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Blue Jackets49c734.96$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.1336349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…b83abacked Blue Jackets44c726.76$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Blue Jackets48c686.06$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.315145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…7f48backed Blue Jackets48c651.42$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.681050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Senators71c643.5$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Blue Jackets50c641.24$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6225555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x535d…47aabacked Senators52c606.56$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+59.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Blue Jackets49c594.08$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.563360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a6…3139backed Blue Jackets48c559.17$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7895…944dbacked Senators76c548.33$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.