NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x945044548662e85aeab29759f50e351c508e7354bcbcaa5cd537cdcae55b7ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Penguins, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $577,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Penguins | 44c | 83,000$36,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,240 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bruins | 59c | 59,211$34,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,547.69 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bruins | 53c | 47,753$25,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,456.29 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 47c | 36,997$17,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,309.92 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bruins | 75c | 31,401$23,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840.15 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 53c | 21,949$11,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,353.84 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Penguins | 25c | 20,769$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bruins | 53c | 19,031$10,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,944.68 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Penguins | 47c | 17,764$8,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,349.02 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Penguins | 47c | 12,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.96 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 47c | 11,007$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,224.68 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bruins | 57c | 9,914$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.84 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 26c | 7,322$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.65 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Bruins | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Penguins | 47c | 6,870$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.35 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Penguins | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Bruins | 79c | 6,330$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Penguins | 59c | 6,009$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.63 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 17c | 5,732$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bruins | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.13 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Bruins | 52c | 5,101$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.69 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bruins | 55c | 5,012$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.86 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Penguins | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bruins | 53c | 4,938$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.57 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Penguins | 48c | 4,810$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.34 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bruins | 53c | 4,702$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.17 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 40c | 4,551$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.04 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 26c | 4,381$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.5 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins | 52c | 4,325$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.8 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Penguins | 29c | 4,320$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Bruins | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.95 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bruins | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bruins | 45c | 3,747$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.42 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Penguins | 48c | 3,639$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.72 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…e088backed Penguins | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be4…ffb9backed Bruins | 52c | 3,450$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Penguins | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Bruins | 52c | 2,972$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.7 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bruins | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Penguins | 27c | 2,760$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.6 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Penguins | 60c | 2,570$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.87 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Penguins | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…eea5backed Bruins | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Penguins | 52c | 2,372$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.09 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Bruins | 52c | 2,372$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…9cfebacked Penguins | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bruins | 52c | 2,032$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.62 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b2bfbacked Bruins | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…3048backed Penguins | 48c | 1,990$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7f…dafabacked Bruins | 52c | 1,975$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…8055backed Penguins | 48c | 1,975$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8c8backed Penguins | 48c | 1,975$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6c…7023backed Bruins | 52c | 1,975$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…3985backed Bruins | 52c | 1,970$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…eed6backed Penguins | 48c | 1,970$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…4c52backed Bruins | 52c | 1,970$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…624bbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,970$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…7a19backed Penguins | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a2…a3dcbacked Bruins | 52c | 1,960$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…b177backed Bruins | 52c | 1,960$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6065…a969backed Penguins | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x086e…ce3fbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,955$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…2188backed Bruins | 52c | 1,955$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…e7c2backed Bruins | 52c | 1,955$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…d3ccbacked Bruins | 52c | 1,955$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…f820backed Penguins | 48c | 1,955$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…5327backed Penguins | 48c | 1,955$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Penguins | 47c | 1,946$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.81 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…7399backed Bruins | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…324abacked Penguins | 48c | 1,930$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…f51cbacked Bruins | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…cb5cbacked Bruins | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…5168backed Penguins | 48c | 1,930$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…1d80backed Penguins | 48c | 1,930$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…6bb8backed Bruins | 52c | 1,925$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…d2ecbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,925$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…31ddbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,910$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412e…258abacked Bruins | 52c | 1,910$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…f414backed Penguins | 48c | 1,910$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…d3ddbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,910$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1883…b508backed Bruins | 52c | 1,910$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d4…ff98backed Bruins | 52c | 1,910$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…fec5backed Bruins | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bde…2515backed Penguins | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…03adbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…2682backed Bruins | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…33f2backed Bruins | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…8dcebacked Penguins | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…b7a1backed Bruins | 52c | 1,895$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…e181backed Penguins | 48c | 1,895$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…6ae2backed Bruins | 52c | 1,895$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adf…6ce6backed Penguins | 48c | 1,895$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da2…8fc7backed Penguins | 48c | 1,890$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…441dbacked Bruins | 52c | 1,890$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1107…97d2backed Bruins | 52c | 1,890$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…2e46backed Penguins | 48c | 1,890$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Bruinsthis page
- Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.