NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3af99cb29ff579c59bacc878830eac49e28e11906fa64df4fe3fa5a02472972d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $661,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 541,686$266,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266,387.11 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 153,526$77,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,730.85 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 56,435$28,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,987.37 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 51c | 22,715$11,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,601.25 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 18,888$9,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,255.12 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 53c | 18,400$9,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,696.55 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 16,535$8,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,913.02 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 51c | 15,235$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 12,540$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,019.2 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 11,319$5,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,647.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 50c | 8,050$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.21 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…7c68backed Under | 53c | 6,449$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a5…419dbacked Under | 51c | 4,040$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 52c | 3,743$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Under | 49c | 3,602$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.04 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 3,250$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 50c | 3,020$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 2,844$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.36 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 2,421$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.55 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.14 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,800$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.16 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,381$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 1,351$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.04 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 50c | 1,116$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.24 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 51c | 1,016$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.34 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 53c | 1,005$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.49 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 931.73$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 52c | 919$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.12 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 53c | 867.92$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.92 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 818$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.46 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 52c | 600$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.89 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 569.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.58 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 560.58$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.6 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 50c | 429.31$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.66 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 48c | 428.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.03 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 50c | 373.4$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 52c | 300$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f251backed Under | 53c | 254.42$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 32c | 200.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 75c | 147$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Under | 52c | 125.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 54c | 119.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 69c | 79.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 46c | 77.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb8…beaabacked Over | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 59c | 67.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 66c | 63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Under | 54c | 54.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 40c | 53.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d69…01aebacked Over | 48c | 46.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 44.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Under | 54c | 44.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 50c | 39.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…74b3backed Under | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Under | 35c | 37.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…46e2backed Under | 50c | 35.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +262.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 73c | 33.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 52c | 31.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7911…85a6backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 50c | 30.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 44c | 29.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 50c | 29.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Under | 54c | 29.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…360ebacked Under | 52c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…5e8abacked Under | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 53c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. BruinsBruins won
- Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.